PitchMath
Saudi Pro League · 2026

Al-Ahli 5–0 Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League

5–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Al-Ahli won 5–0.

Shots
1612
Shots on target
81
Expected goals
3.350.84
Possession
56%44%

Full time

What the match recorded

Al-Ahli beat Al-Riyadh 5–0. Recorded in this match (Al-Ahli – Al-Riyadh): shots 16–12, shots on target 8–1, expected goals 3.35–0.84, possession 56%–44%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Al-Ahli show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Al-Ahli's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

15 shots/match ▲ShotsAl-Ahli · Al-Riyadh10.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAl-AhliAl-RiyadhBaseline
Shots15 shots/match10.4 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against11.6 shots/match18 shots/match11.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Al-Ahli.

3 days ▲Rest daysAl-Ahli · Al-Riyadh7.09 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricAl-AhliAl-RiyadhBaseline
Rest days3 days7.09 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Al-Ahli have recorded the higher season possession share.

52.2% ●PossessionAl-Ahli · Al-Riyadh37.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.4 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAl-AhliAl-RiyadhBaseline
Possession52.2%37.8%49.9%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots12 shotsAl-Ahli 16 shots, Al-Riyadh 12 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots1 shotAl-Ahli 8 shots, Al-Riyadh 1 shot
  • Expected goals3.35 xG0.84 xGAl-Ahli 3.35 xG, Al-Riyadh 0.84 xG
  • Possession56%44%Al-Ahli 56%, Al-Riyadh 44%
  • Corners4 corners3 cornersAl-Ahli 4 corners, Al-Riyadh 3 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls8 foulsAl-Ahli 11 fouls, Al-Riyadh 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsAl-Ahli 1 card, Al-Riyadh 3 cards
  • Passes355 passes274 passesAl-Ahli 355 passes, Al-Riyadh 274 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.1%78.8%Al-Ahli 85.1%, Al-Riyadh 78.8%
  • Shots inside box10 shots4 shotsAl-Ahli 10 shots, Al-Riyadh 4 shots
  • Blocked shots6 blocks7 blocksAl-Ahli 6 blocks, Al-Riyadh 7 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save3 savesAl-Ahli 1 save, Al-Riyadh 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideAl-Ahli 1 offside, Al-Riyadh 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 16′Ivan ToneyPenalty goal · Al-Ahli
  2. 43′Eduard SpertsyanGoal · Al-Ahli
  3. 45′Francisco TrincãoGoal · Al-Ahli
  4. Half-time
  5. 48′Hussain Al-ShurafaYellow card · Al-Riyadh
  6. 60′Mohammed Al-KhaibariYellow card · Al-Riyadh
  7. 61′Ivan ToneyPenalty goal · Al-Ahli
  8. 77′Saad Yaslam BalobaidYellow card · Al-Ahli
  9. 85′Abdulilah Al TaleYellow card · Al-Riyadh
  10. 87′Naif MasoudGoal · Al-Ahli
  11. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Al-Riyadh · 1 player changeHussain Al-Shurafa
  • 62′Al-Ahli · 1 player changeZiyad Aljohani
  • 69′Al-Riyadh · 2 player changesHussain Al-Raqwani · Marzouq Tambakti
  • 75′Al-Ahli · 3 player changesSaleh Abu Al-Shamat · Naif Masoud · Firas Al-Buraikan
  • 81′Al-Riyadh · 1 player changeAbdulilah Al Tale
  • 83′Al-Ahli · 1 player changeZakaria Hawsawi
  • 89′Al-Riyadh · 1 player changeSalman Matar

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Al-Ahli
  1. Edouard MendyG
  2. Roger IbañezD
  3. Mohammed Sulaiman BakorD
  4. Saad Yaslam BalobaidD
  5. Rayan HamedD
  6. Valentin Atangana EdoaM
  7. Eduard SpertsyanM
  8. Artem BondarenkoM
  9. Francisco TrincãoF
  10. Wenderson GalenoF
  11. Ivan ToneyF
Al-Riyadh
  1. Milan BorjanG
  2. Sultan AlessaD
  3. Sulaiman Hahya HazaziD
  4. Rodrigo AbascalD
  5. Mohammed Al-KhaibariD
  6. Teddy OkouM
  7. Essam BahriM
  8. Victor LekhalM
  9. Fahad Al JayzaniM
  10. Hassan Hashim Al-AliF
  11. Leandro AntunesF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Al-Ahli
1Draws
1Al-Riyadh
Al-Riyadh — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League0–1
Al-Ahli — Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League1–1
Al-Riyadh — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League0–1
Al-Ahli — Al-Riyadh · Saudi Pro League5–0
Al-Riyadh — Al-Ahli · Saudi Pro League2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Al-Ahli favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · Al-Riyadh in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Al-Ahli5 matchesAl-Riyadh5 matches
2.2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.2 goals/match ▲Goals allowed5/53.2 goals/match
1.94 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.78 xG/match
15 shots/match ▲Shots5/510.4 shots/match
5.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/52.6 shots/match
52.2% ●Possession5/537.8%
3.6 corners/match ●Corners5/53 corners/match
11.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Sept 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Saudi Pro League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAl-AhliAl-Riyadh
CompetitionSaudi Pro League
Head-to-headAl-Ahli — Al-Riyadh
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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