PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

FC Groningen 2–3 Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Fortuna Sittard won 2–3.

Shots
229
Shots on target
25
Expected goals
1.470.88
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fortuna Sittard beat FC Groningen 3–2. Recorded in this match (FC Groningen – Fortuna Sittard): shots 22–9, shots on target 2–5, expected goals 1.47–0.88, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fortuna Sittard show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Fortuna Sittard's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

15.3 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Groningen · Fortuna Sittard10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC GroningenFortuna SittardBaseline
Shots15.3 shots/match10 shots/match12.7 shots/match
Shots against14.3 shots/match22.3 shots/match18.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

FC Groningen have recorded the higher season possession share.

50.3% ●PossessionFC Groningen · Fortuna Sittard32%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC GroningenFortuna SittardBaseline
Possession50.3%32%41.2%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots9 shotsFC Groningen 22 shots, Fortuna Sittard 9 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots5 shotsFC Groningen 2 shots, Fortuna Sittard 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.47 xG0.88 xGFC Groningen 1.47 xG, Fortuna Sittard 0.88 xG
  • Possession68%32%FC Groningen 68%, Fortuna Sittard 32%
  • Corners7 corners2 cornersFC Groningen 7 corners, Fortuna Sittard 2 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsFC Groningen 8 fouls, Fortuna Sittard 8 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards3 cardsFC Groningen 3 cards, Fortuna Sittard 3 cards
  • Passes550 passes279 passesFC Groningen 550 passes, Fortuna Sittard 279 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.7%73.8%FC Groningen 86.7%, Fortuna Sittard 73.8%
  • Shots inside box16 shots6 shotsFC Groningen 16 shots, Fortuna Sittard 6 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks3 blocksFC Groningen 5 blocks, Fortuna Sittard 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveFC Groningen 2 saves, Fortuna Sittard 1 save
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideFC Groningen 3 offsides, Fortuna Sittard 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 4′Rodrigo GuthYellow card · Fortuna Sittard
  2. 12′Mohamed IhattarenGoal · Fortuna Sittard
  3. 20′David van der WerffGoal · FC Groningen
  4. 28′Lequincio ZeefuikGoal · Fortuna Sittard
  5. Half-time
  6. 65′Jacob OndrejkaYellow card · FC Groningen
  7. 69′Justin HubnerYellow card · Fortuna Sittard
  8. 72′Anthony DescotteGoal · Fortuna Sittard
  9. 87′Justin HubnerGoal · Fortuna Sittard
  10. 88′Etienne VaessenYellow card · FC Groningen
  11. 90′Édouard MichutYellow card · Fortuna Sittard
  12. 90′Travis HernesYellow card · FC Groningen
  13. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 64′FC Groningen · 2 player changesOskar Zawada · Jacob Ondrejka
  • 68′Fortuna Sittard · 1 player changeNick de Groot
  • 80′Fortuna Sittard · 1 player changeYassin Oukili
  • 81′FC Groningen · 1 player changeTravis Hernes
  • 81′Fortuna Sittard · 1 player changeSyb Van Ottele
  • 82′FC Groningen · 2 player changesAlvin Nordin · Nils Eggens
  • 90′Fortuna Sittard · 1 player changeMoussa Gbemou

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2FC Groningen
0Draws
3Fortuna Sittard
FC Groningen — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie1–2
Fortuna Sittard — FC Groningen · Eredivisie1–2
FC Groningen — Fortuna Sittard · Eredivisie1–0
Fortuna Sittard — FC Groningen · Eredivisie1–0
Fortuna Sittard — FC Groningen · Eredivisie3–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Groningen favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Fortuna Sittard in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Groningen3 matchesFortuna Sittard3 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/32 goals/match
3 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1.67 goals/match
1.92 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/30.97 xG/match
15.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/310 shots/match
6.67 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34.67 shots/match
50.3% ●Possession3/332%
4.33 corners/match ●Corners3/33 corners/match
7.67 fouls/matchFouls3/39 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Aug 2026, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC GroningenFortuna Sittard
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headFC Groningen — Fortuna Sittard
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required