PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

AZ Alkmaar 5–2 Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie

5–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

AZ Alkmaar won 5–2.

Shots
2010
Shots on target
84
Expected goals
2.391.82
Possession
52%48%

Full time

What the match recorded

AZ Alkmaar beat Go Ahead Eagles 5–2. Recorded in this match (AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles): shots 20–10, shots on target 8–4, expected goals 2.39–1.82, possession 52%–48%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AZ Alkmaar show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AZ Alkmaar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

23.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAZ Alkmaar · Go Ahead Eagles11.7 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAZ AlkmaarGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Shots23.3 shots/match11.7 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against7.33 shots/match21 shots/match17.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

10.7 corners/match ●CornersAZ Alkmaar · Go Ahead Eagles5 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAZ AlkmaarGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Corners10.7 corners/match5 corners/match4.33 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

AZ Alkmaar have recorded the higher season possession share.

58.7% ●PossessionAZ Alkmaar · Go Ahead Eagles47.3%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricAZ AlkmaarGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Possession58.7%47.3%47.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots10 shotsAZ Alkmaar 20 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 10 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots4 shotsAZ Alkmaar 8 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 4 shots
  • Expected goals2.39 xG1.82 xGAZ Alkmaar 2.39 xG, Go Ahead Eagles 1.82 xG
  • Possession52%48%AZ Alkmaar 52%, Go Ahead Eagles 48%
  • Corners8 corners4 cornersAZ Alkmaar 8 corners, Go Ahead Eagles 4 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls6 foulsAZ Alkmaar 9 fouls, Go Ahead Eagles 6 fouls
  • Passes484 passes445 passesAZ Alkmaar 484 passes, Go Ahead Eagles 445 passes
  • Pass accuracy83.3%83.2%AZ Alkmaar 83.3%, Go Ahead Eagles 83.2%
  • Shots inside box13 shots7 shotsAZ Alkmaar 13 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 7 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks2 blocksAZ Alkmaar 5 blocks, Go Ahead Eagles 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesAZ Alkmaar 2 saves, Go Ahead Eagles 3 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideAZ Alkmaar 1 offside, Go Ahead Eagles 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 7′Dave KwakmanGoal · AZ Alkmaar
  2. 22′Victor EdvardsenGoal · Go Ahead Eagles
  3. 35′Ro-Zangelo DaalGoal · AZ Alkmaar
  4. Half-time
  5. 49′Lewis SchoutenGoal · AZ Alkmaar
  6. 68′Mateo ChávezGoal · AZ Alkmaar
  7. 86′Ro-Zangelo DaalGoal · AZ Alkmaar
  8. 90′Mathis SurayGoal · Go Ahead Eagles
  9. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Go Ahead Eagles · 1 player changeStefán Ingi Sigurðarson
  • 59′Go Ahead Eagles · 2 player changesEus Waayers · Richonell Margaret
  • 64′AZ Alkmaar · 2 player changesCalvin Stengs · Jordy Clasie
  • 69′Go Ahead Eagles · 1 player changeThibo Baeten
  • 77′AZ Alkmaar · 2 player changesSeiya Maikuma · Ayoub Oufkir
  • 78′Go Ahead Eagles · 1 player changeOskar Siira Sivertsen
  • 83′AZ Alkmaar · 1 player changeMees De Wit

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2AZ Alkmaar
3Draws
0Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie0–0
AZ Alkmaar — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie2–2
Go Ahead Eagles — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie0–3
AZ Alkmaar — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie2–2
Go Ahead Eagles — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie0–3

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AZ Alkmaar favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Go Ahead Eagles in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AZ Alkmaar3 matchesGo Ahead Eagles3 matches
3.67 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/32.33 goals/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed3/32.67 goals/match
2.89 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.45 xG/match
23.3 shots/match ▲Shots3/311.7 shots/match
9.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/35 shots/match
58.7% ●Possession3/347.3%
10.7 corners/match ●Corners3/35 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/38 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 29 Aug 2026, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAZ AlkmaarGo Ahead Eagles
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headAZ Alkmaar — Go Ahead Eagles
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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