PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2026

FC Twente 1–0 SC Telstar · Eredivisie

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Twente won 1–0.

Shots
223
Shots on target
82
Expected goals
2.580.2
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Twente beat SC Telstar 1–0. Recorded in this match (FC Twente – SC Telstar): shots 22–3, shots on target 8–2, expected goals 2.58–0.2, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

SC Telstar show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

SC Telstar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

21.2 shots/match ▲ShotsFC Twente · SC Telstar8.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFC TwenteSC TelstarBaseline
Shots21.2 shots/match8.2 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against9.8 shots/match17 shots/match15.6 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for FC Twente, SC Telstar.

3.27 days ▲Rest daysFC Twente · SC Telstar3.18 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricFC TwenteSC TelstarBaseline
Rest days3.27 days3.18 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

FC Twente have recorded the higher season possession share.

61% ●PossessionFC Twente · SC Telstar42.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 18.6 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricFC TwenteSC TelstarBaseline
Possession61%42.4%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots22 shots3 shotsFC Twente 22 shots, SC Telstar 3 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots2 shotsFC Twente 8 shots, SC Telstar 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.58 xG0.2 xGFC Twente 2.58 xG, SC Telstar 0.2 xG
  • Possession63%37%FC Twente 63%, SC Telstar 37%
  • Corners9 corners2 cornersFC Twente 9 corners, SC Telstar 2 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls11 foulsFC Twente 10 fouls, SC Telstar 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card3 cardsFC Twente 1 card, SC Telstar 3 cards
  • Passes611 passes368 passesFC Twente 611 passes, SC Telstar 368 passes
  • Pass accuracy87.2%78.3%FC Twente 87.2%, SC Telstar 78.3%
  • Shots inside box15 shots3 shotsFC Twente 15 shots, SC Telstar 3 shots
  • Blocked shots5 blocks0 blocksFC Twente 5 blocks, SC Telstar 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves7 savesFC Twente 2 saves, SC Telstar 7 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideFC Twente 1 offside, SC Telstar 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 23′Younes TahaYellow card · FC Twente
  2. Half-time
  3. 46′Nökkvi ÞórissonYellow card · SC Telstar
  4. 55′Marvin PeersmanYellow card · SC Telstar
  5. 63′Sem ValkYellow card · SC Telstar
  6. 65′Sondre ØrjasæterGoal · FC Twente
  7. 81′Wout WeghorstPenalty missed · FC Twente
  8. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 61′SC Telstar · 2 player changesNoach Shenkman · Jelani Seedorf
  • 62′SC Telstar · 1 player changeRojendro Oudsten
  • 62′FC Twente · 1 player changeFilip Thorvaldsen
  • 73′FC Twente · 2 player changesRobin Pröpper · Thomas Van den Belt
  • 74′SC Telstar · 1 player changeHarrie Kuster
  • 79′FC Twente · 1 player changeMarko Pjaca
  • 82′SC Telstar · 1 player changeAr'Jany Martha

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

FC Twente
  1. Lars UnnerstallG
  2. Ruud NijstadD
  3. Bart van RooijD
  4. Aske AdelgaardD
  5. Max BrunsD
  6. Ramiz ZerroukiM
  7. Daouda WeidmannM
  8. Younes TahaM
  9. Wout WeghorstF
  10. Daan RotsF
  11. Sondre ØrjasæterF
SC Telstar
  1. Ronald Koeman JrG
  2. Jeff HardeveldD
  3. Gerald AldersD
  4. Abdelnour SoualhiaD
  5. Sem ValkD
  6. Marvin PeersmanD
  7. Tyrone OwusuM
  8. Nils RossenM
  9. Rui MendesF
  10. Nökkvi ÞórissonF
  11. Patrick BrouwerF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0FC Twente
2Draws
0SC Telstar
SC Telstar — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–1
FC Twente — SC Telstar · Eredivisie0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Twente favored in 13 of 13 directional metrics · SC Telstar in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Twente5 matchesSC Telstar5 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/51 goal/match
1 goal/match ▲Goals allowed5/52.2 goals/match
2.03 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/51.31 xG/match
21.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/58.2 shots/match
7.2 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/52.4 shots/match
61% ●Possession5/542.4%
6.8 corners/match ●Corners5/54.2 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls5/511.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 9 Sept 2026, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC TwenteSC Telstar
CompetitionEredivisie
Head-to-headFC Twente — SC Telstar
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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