PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Cardiff City 1–1 Wrexham · Championship

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Cardiff City and Wrexham drew 1–1.

Shots
1118
Shots on target
38
Expected goals
0.911.55
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Cardiff City and Wrexham drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Cardiff City – Wrexham): shots 11–18, shots on target 3–8, expected goals 0.91–1.55, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots18 shotsCardiff City 11 shots, Wrexham 18 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots8 shotsCardiff City 3 shots, Wrexham 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.91 xG1.55 xGCardiff City 0.91 xG, Wrexham 1.55 xG
  • Possession67%33%Cardiff City 67%, Wrexham 33%
  • Corners9 corners9 cornersCardiff City 9 corners, Wrexham 9 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls13 foulsCardiff City 9 fouls, Wrexham 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsCardiff City 0 cards, Wrexham 2 cards
  • Passes540 passes259 passesCardiff City 540 passes, Wrexham 259 passes
  • Pass accuracy88.9%78.8%Cardiff City 88.9%, Wrexham 78.8%
  • Shots inside box7 shots12 shotsCardiff City 7 shots, Wrexham 12 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksCardiff City 2 blocks, Wrexham 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves7 saves2 savesCardiff City 7 saves, Wrexham 2 saves
  • Offsides3 offsides1 offsideCardiff City 3 offsides, Wrexham 1 offside

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kieffer Moore · Wrexham · 27′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMatty James · Wrexham · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 42′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Robertson · Cardiff City · 43′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 67′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJack Moylan · Cardiff City · 70′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBen Whiteman · Wrexham · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCallum Robinson · Cardiff City · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Thomason · Wrexham · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPerry Ng · Cardiff City · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJack Moylan · Cardiff City · 78′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedRonan Kpakio · Cardiff City · 86′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKieffer Moore · Wrexham · 3′ · 0.06 xG · goalNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 48′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSam Smith · Wrexham · 90′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDaniel Imray · Wrexham · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Osho · Cardiff City · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSam Smith · Wrexham · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCallum Doyle · Wrexham · 58′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedSam Smith · Wrexham · 83′ · 0.08 xG · on targetCian Ashford · Cardiff City · 27′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCallum Doyle · Wrexham · 47′ · 0.10 xG · on targetRubin Colwill · Cardiff City · 90′ · 0.13 xG · goalJack Moylan · Cardiff City · 25′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedNathan Broadhead · Wrexham · 50′ · 0.16 xG · on targetCallum Doyle · Wrexham · 6′ · 0.18 xG · on targetCallum Doyle · Wrexham · 87′ · 0.22 xG · on targetIsaak Davies · Cardiff City · 90′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedKieffer Moore · Wrexham · 36′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Cardiff City: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.90 xG. Wrexham: 18 shots, 8 on target, 1.57 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Rubin Colwill · Cardiff City · 90′Kieffer Moore · Wrexham · 3′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Cardiff City 0.90 xG · Wrexham 1.57 xG.

Limited historical context

PitchMath holds only part of the history for this match.

Current-season evidence is below the threshold and the previous-season record is incomplete, so only what is actually stored is shown.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Cardiff City1 matches
  • Wrexham1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Cardiff City

No trustworthy previous-season profile is stored for this club.

Wrexham

Competition
Championship
Season
2025/26
Sample
46 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
23 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.5 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.41 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.19 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.35 xG/match
  • Shots11.3 shots/match
  • Shots allowed13.7 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.71 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed4.44 shots/match
  • Possession48.3%
  • Corners4.42 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.49 corners/match
  • Fouls10 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency26%
  • Scoring frequency87%

How competition percentiles work

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailable — unavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Mon, 17 Aug 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4
TeamsCardiff CityWrexham
CompetitionChampionship
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this