Championship · 2026Full timeFull-time analysis
22Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBurnleyWest Ham United
Shots18 shots 11 shots
Shots on target6 shots 2 shots
Expected goals2.33 xG 1.33 xG
Possession46%54%
Corners5 corners6 corners
Fouls12 fouls9 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Zian Flemming · Burnley · 69′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedZian Flemming · Burnley · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 63′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZeki Amdouni · Burnley · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAaron Ramsey · Burnley · 4′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHannibal Mejbri · Burnley · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedZian Flemming · Burnley · 56′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJosh Laurent · Burnley · 78′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOliver Sonne · Burnley · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedManor Solomon · West Ham United · 30′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedValentín Castellanos · West Ham United · 30′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedZian Flemming · Burnley · 51′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAaron Ramsey · Burnley · 27′ · 0.07 xG · on targetUgo Raghouber · Burnley · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedManor Solomon · West Ham United · 44′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJarrod Bowen · West Ham United · 71′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedAaron Ramsey · Burnley · 13′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedZian Flemming · Burnley · 90′ · 0.09 xG · goalMax Kilman · West Ham United · 10′ · 0.10 xG · goalZian Flemming · Burnley · 1′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedPablo Felipe · West Ham United · 10′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedKonstantinos Mavropanos · West Ham United · 17′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedZian Flemming · Burnley · 65′ · 0.26 xG · on targetMohamadou Kanté · West Ham United · 74′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedZian Flemming · Burnley · 62′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedManor Solomon · West Ham United · 72′ · 0.32 xG · goalZian Flemming · Burnley · 83′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Burnley: 17 shots, 5 on target, 2.10 xG. West Ham United: 11 shots, 2 on target, 1.30 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Zian Flemming · Burnley · 83′Zian Flemming · Burnley · 90′Max Kilman · West Ham United · 10′Manor Solomon · West Ham United · 72′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Burnley 2.10 xG · West Ham United 1.30 xG.

Full time

What the match recorded

Burnley and West Ham United drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Burnley – West Ham United): shots 18–11, shots on target 6–2, expected goals 2.33–1.33, possession 46%–54%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

Last 5 meetings

0Burnley
2Draws
3West Ham United
BurnleyWest Ham United · Premier League02
West Ham UnitedBurnley · Premier League32
West Ham UnitedBurnley · Premier League22
BurnleyWest Ham United · Premier League12
West Ham UnitedBurnley · Premier League11

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Season-opening preview

Current-season evidence is still building.

This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.

1 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade

Current season so far

Completed matches in the season being played. Kept separate from the historical block below.

  • Burnley1 matches
  • West Ham United1 matches

Previous-season context

Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.

Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.

Burnley

Competition
Premier League
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1 goal/match
  • Goals allowed1.97 goals/match
  • Expected goals0.85 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.99 xG/match
  • Shots9.34 shots/match
  • Shots allowed16.7 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.11 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.68 shots/match
  • Possession42.3%
  • Corners3.63 corners/match
  • Corners allowed5.95 corners/match
  • Cards1.83 cards/match
  • Fouls10.4 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency11%
  • Scoring frequency63%

West Ham United

Competition
Premier League
Season
2025/26
Sample
38 matches
Profile grade
A
Data cutoff
24 May 2026
  • Goals scored1.21 goals/match
  • Goals allowed1.71 goals/match
  • Expected goals1.21 xG/match
  • Expected goals allowed1.57 xG/match
  • Shots10.6 shots/match
  • Shots allowed14.9 shots/match
  • Shots on target3.74 shots/match
  • Shots on target allowed5.13 shots/match
  • Possession42.6%
  • Corners4.92 corners/match
  • Corners allowed6.08 corners/match
  • Cards1.86 cards/match
  • Fouls11.1 fouls/match
  • Clean-sheet frequency18%
  • Scoring frequency66%

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade D · UnavailableUnavailableunavailable
Season samples1 / 1home / away teams
Recent samples1 / 1last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 16 Aug 2026, 19:00 UTC · analysis-v4