Championship · 2026

Wrexham 1–1 Watford · Championship

1–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Wrexham and Watford drew 1–1.

Shots
1210
Shots on target
26
Expected goals
1.580.49
Possession
59%41%

Full time

What the match recorded

Wrexham and Watford drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Wrexham – Watford): shots 12–10, shots on target 2–6, expected goals 1.58–0.49, possession 59%–41%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots12 shots10 shotsWrexham 12 shots, Watford 10 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots6 shotsWrexham 2 shots, Watford 6 shots
  • Expected goals1.58 xG0.49 xGWrexham 1.58 xG, Watford 0.49 xG
  • Possession59%41%Wrexham 59%, Watford 41%
  • Corners10 corners3 cornersWrexham 10 corners, Watford 3 corners
  • Fouls13 fouls11 foulsWrexham 13 fouls, Watford 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards2 cards0 cardsWrexham 2 cards, Watford 0 cards

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

George Thomason · Wrexham · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedIker Bravo · Watford · 48′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDominic Hyam · Wrexham · 54′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Watford · 67′ · 0.03 xG · on targetRocco Vata · Watford · 72′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMartín Payero · Watford · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLuca Kjerrumgaard · Watford · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIker Bravo · Watford · 74′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMatthew Pollock · Watford · 30′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJordan Zemura · Watford · 45′ · 0.06 xG · on targetAmin Nabizada · Watford · 4′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDaniel Imray · Wrexham · 46′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBen Whiteman · Wrexham · 80′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedLuca Kjerrumgaard · Watford · 14′ · 0.10 xG · goalLewis O'Brien · Wrexham · 84′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedKieffer Moore · Wrexham · 45′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedCallum Doyle · Wrexham · 56′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Imray · Wrexham · 37′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedCallum Doyle · Wrexham · 90′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedOliver Rathbone · Wrexham · 12′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedGeorge Thomason · Wrexham · 68′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Imray · Wrexham · 22′ · 0.33 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Wrexham: 12 shots, 2 on target, 1.58 xG. Watford: 10 shots, 6 on target, 0.48 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Daniel Imray · Wrexham · 22′Luca Kjerrumgaard · Watford · 14′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Wrexham 1.58 xG · Watford 0.48 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Wrexham
1Draws
1Watford
Watford — Wrexham · Championship3–1
Wrexham — Watford · Championship2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
4.79 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.06 days

Wrexham / Watford

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Turn this match into a graphicReady-made from PitchMath data · No sign-up required