Championship · 2026

Derby County 2–2 Cardiff City · Championship

2–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Derby County and Cardiff City drew 2–2.

Shots
1516
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
1.621.98
Possession
36%64%

Full time

What the match recorded

Derby County and Cardiff City drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Derby County – Cardiff City): shots 15–16, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 1.62–1.98, possession 36%–64%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots15 shots16 shotsDerby County 15 shots, Cardiff City 16 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsDerby County 7 shots, Cardiff City 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.62 xG1.98 xGDerby County 1.62 xG, Cardiff City 1.98 xG
  • Possession36%64%Derby County 36%, Cardiff City 64%
  • Corners7 corners7 cornersDerby County 7 corners, Cardiff City 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls10 foulsDerby County 12 fouls, Cardiff City 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards1 cardDerby County 5 cards, Cardiff City 1 card

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Alex Robertson · Cardiff City · 59′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedBobby Clark · Derby County · 83′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOllie Tanner · Cardiff City · 44′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDavid Turnbull · Cardiff City · 67′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsaak Davies · Cardiff City · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLewis Travis · Derby County · 16′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedAlex Robertson · Cardiff City · 61′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCorey Blackett-Taylor · Derby County · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJack Moylan · Cardiff City · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMax Johnston · Derby County · 75′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid Turnbull · Cardiff City · 88′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLars-Jørgen Salvesen · Derby County · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetCorey Blackett-Taylor · Derby County · 2′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCian Ashford · Cardiff City · 24′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRonan Kpakio · Cardiff City · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYousef Salech · Cardiff City · 43′ · 0.06 xG · on targetBobby Clark · Derby County · 2′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedOscar Fraulo · Derby County · 3′ · 0.08 xG · on targetOscar Fraulo · Derby County · 32′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedCorey Blackett-Taylor · Derby County · 41′ · 0.09 xG · on targetCian Ashford · Cardiff City · 51′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedCarlton Morris · Derby County · 63′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedBobby Clark · Derby County · 3′ · 0.11 xG · on targetRubin Colwill · Cardiff City · 12′ · 0.12 xG · on targetBobby Clark · Derby County · 49′ · 0.12 xG · goalCian Ashford · Cardiff City · 19′ · 0.22 xG · goalBobby Clark · Derby County · 1′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedYousef Salech · Cardiff City · 18′ · 0.31 xG · on targetOllie Tanner · Cardiff City · 18′ · 0.49 xG · on targetCarlton Morris · Derby County · 26′ · 0.52 xG · goalYousef Salech · Cardiff City · 39′ · 0.55 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Derby County: 15 shots, 7 on target, 1.66 xG. Cardiff City: 16 shots, 7 on target, 2.14 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Carlton Morris · Derby County · 26′Bobby Clark · Derby County · 49′Cian Ashford · Cardiff City · 19′Yousef Salech · Cardiff City · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Derby County 1.66 xG · Cardiff City 2.14 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Derby County
0Draws
3Cardiff City
Cardiff City — Derby County · Championship2–1
Derby County — Cardiff City · Championship1–0
Derby County — Cardiff City · Championship0–1
Cardiff City — Derby County · Championship1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

  • Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 1 match
7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/14.79 days

Derby County / Cardiff City

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples2 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples2 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 22 Aug 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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