PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Lincoln City 0–0 Blackburn Rovers · Championship

0–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Lincoln City and Blackburn Rovers drew 0–0.

Shots
188
Shots on target
12
Expected goals
1.440.26
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

Lincoln City and Blackburn Rovers drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (Lincoln City – Blackburn Rovers): shots 18–8, shots on target 1–2, expected goals 1.44–0.26, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lincoln City, Blackburn Rovers.

3.2 days ▲Rest daysLincoln City · Blackburn Rovers3.2 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricLincoln CityBlackburn RoversBaseline
Rest days3.2 days3.2 days—
Matches last 14 days2 matches2 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Lincoln City show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Lincoln City's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

12.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLincoln City · Blackburn Rovers9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricLincoln CityBlackburn RoversBaseline
Shots12.8 shots/match9 shots/match13.6 shots/match
Shots against16 shots/match19.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Blackburn Rovers have recorded the higher season possession share.

33.3%PossessionLincoln City · Blackburn Rovers● 47.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricLincoln CityBlackburn RoversBaseline
Possession33.3%47.5%50.5%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots18 shots8 shotsLincoln City 18 shots, Blackburn Rovers 8 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot2 shotsLincoln City 1 shot, Blackburn Rovers 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.44 xG0.26 xGLincoln City 1.44 xG, Blackburn Rovers 0.26 xG
  • Possession40%60%Lincoln City 40%, Blackburn Rovers 60%
  • Corners5 corners7 cornersLincoln City 5 corners, Blackburn Rovers 7 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls11 foulsLincoln City 12 fouls, Blackburn Rovers 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsLincoln City 1 card, Blackburn Rovers 4 cards
  • Passes340 passes524 passesLincoln City 340 passes, Blackburn Rovers 524 passes
  • Pass accuracy75%85.7%Lincoln City 75%, Blackburn Rovers 85.7%
  • Shots inside box10 shots5 shotsLincoln City 10 shots, Blackburn Rovers 5 shots
  • Blocked shots8 blocks3 blocksLincoln City 8 blocks, Blackburn Rovers 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves1 saveLincoln City 2 saves, Blackburn Rovers 1 save
  • Offsides0 offsides2 offsidesLincoln City 0 offsides, Blackburn Rovers 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 13′Tom AtchesonYellow card · Blackburn Rovers
  2. Half-time
  3. 69′Tom AtchesonSecond yellow · Blackburn Rovers
  4. 85′Jake GarrettYellow card · Blackburn Rovers
  5. 90′Conor McGrandlesYellow card · Lincoln City
  6. 90′Adam ForshawYellow card · Blackburn Rovers
  7. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 61′Lincoln City · 2 player changesIvan Varfolomeev · Tanto Olaofe
  • 67′Blackburn Rovers · 1 player changeAdam Forshaw
  • 68′Blackburn Rovers · 1 player changeJayden Fevrier
  • 77′Lincoln City · 1 player changeMikkel Ladefoged
  • 79′Blackburn Rovers · 1 player changeJake Garrett
  • 87′Lincoln City · 2 player changesAndrei Coubiș · Mason Melia
  • 90′Blackburn Rovers · 1 player changeLucas Houghton

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Lincoln City favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Blackburn Rovers in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Lincoln City4 matchesBlackburn Rovers4 matches
0.75 goals/matchGoals scored4/4▲ 1.25 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/41.25 goals/match
1.36 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/40.76 xG/match
12.8 shots/match ▲Shots4/49 shots/match
2.5 shots/matchShots on target4/4▲ 3.5 shots/match
33.3%Possession4/4● 47.5%
5 corners/match ●Corners4/44.25 corners/match
14 fouls/matchFouls4/412 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 1 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsLincoln CityBlackburn Rovers
CompetitionChampionship
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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