Lincoln City
Championship · 2026Lincoln City 1–1 Southampton · Championship
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Lincoln City and Southampton drew 1–1.
- Shots
- 19–16
- Shots on target
- 5–4
- Expected goals
- 2.27–0.77
- Possession
- 39%–61%
Full time
What the match recorded
Lincoln City and Southampton drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Lincoln City – Southampton): shots 19–16, shots on target 5–4, expected goals 2.27–0.77, possession 39%–61%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
weakA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Lincoln City, Southampton.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Lincoln City | Southampton | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 3.7 days | 3.69 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 3 matches | 3 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Southampton show a distinct attacking-volume record
moderateSouthampton's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Lincoln City | Southampton | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 14 shots/match | 17 shots/match | 13.3 shots/match |
| Shots against | 16 shots/match | 15.8 shots/match | 12.9 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateSouthampton have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 25.6 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Lincoln City | Southampton | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 34.4% | 60% | 51% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Lincoln City: 19 shots, 5 on target, 2.29 xG. Southampton: 16 shots, 4 on target, 0.81 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Lincoln City 2.29 xG · Southampton 0.81 xG.
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.
- George WickensG
- Adam ReachD
- Ryley TowlerD
- Dom JefferiesD
- Callum ElderD
- Deji ElereweD
- Tom BaylissM
- Conor McGrandlesM
- Reeco Hackett-FairchildF
- Robert StreetF
- Freddie DraperF
- Daniel PeretzG
- Ryan ManningD
- Keven SchlotterbeckD
- James BreeD
- Nathan WoodD
- Flynn DownesM
- Finn AzazM
- James Ward-ProwseM
- Leo ScienzaF
- Cyle LarinF
- Kuryu MatsukiF
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Lincoln City favored in 1 of 13 directional metrics · Southampton in 9 · 3 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 3 matches
Lincoln City / Southampton
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
More football
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Make a graphic from this match
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