PitchMath
Championship · 2026

Southampton 3–1 Swansea City · Championship

3–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Southampton won 3–1.

Shots
1610
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.211.11
Possession
48%52%

Full time

What the match recorded

Southampton beat Swansea City 3–1. Recorded in this match (Southampton – Swansea City): shots 16–10, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.21–1.11, possession 48%–52%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Southampton, Swansea City.

3.3 days ▲Rest daysSouthampton · Swansea City2.99 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricSouthamptonSwansea CityBaseline
Rest days3.3 days2.99 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots10 shotsSouthampton 16 shots, Swansea City 10 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsSouthampton 4 shots, Swansea City 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.21 xG1.11 xGSouthampton 1.21 xG, Swansea City 1.11 xG
  • Possession48%52%Southampton 48%, Swansea City 52%
  • Corners9 corners3 cornersSouthampton 9 corners, Swansea City 3 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls10 foulsSouthampton 10 fouls, Swansea City 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards1 cardSouthampton 0 cards, Swansea City 1 card
  • Passes448 passes498 passesSouthampton 448 passes, Swansea City 498 passes
  • Pass accuracy85.7%85.1%Southampton 85.7%, Swansea City 85.1%
  • Shots inside box16 shots4 shotsSouthampton 16 shots, Swansea City 4 shots
  • Blocked shots4 blocks3 blocksSouthampton 4 blocks, Swansea City 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves1 save1 saveSouthampton 1 save, Swansea City 1 save
  • Offsides5 offsides3 offsidesSouthampton 5 offsides, Swansea City 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 9′Finn AzazGoal · Southampton
  2. 33′Cyle LarinGoal · Southampton
  3. Half-time
  4. 52′Žan VipotnikPenalty goal · Swansea City
  5. 54′RonaldYellow card · Swansea City
  6. 78′Leo ScienzaGoal · Southampton
  7. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Swansea City · 1 player changeRonald
  • 63′Swansea City · 2 player changesStephen Eustaquio · Melker Widell
  • 70′Swansea City · 1 player changeAdam Idah
  • 76′Southampton · 1 player changeKuryu Matsuki
  • 78′Swansea City · 1 player changeJi-sung Eom
  • 85′Southampton · 2 player changesSamuel Edozie · Divin Mubama
  • 90′Southampton · 1 player changeCameron Bragg

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Southampton4-2-3-1
  1. Daniel PeretzG
  2. Jack StephensD
  3. Keven SchlotterbeckD
  4. James BreeD
  5. WelingtonD
  6. Flynn DownesM
  7. Finn AzazM
  8. James Ward-ProwseM
  9. Leo ScienzaF
  10. Cyle LarinF
  11. Kuryu MatsukiF
Swansea City4-3-3
  1. Lawrence VigourouxG
  2. Josh KeyD
  3. Ben CabangoD
  4. Josh TymonD
  5. Stephen WelshD
  6. Jay FultonM
  7. Melker WidellM
  8. Stephen EustaquioM
  9. Ji-sung EomF
  10. Adam IdahF
  11. Moussa Kounfolo YeoF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Southampton
1Draws
0Swansea City
Swansea City — Southampton · Championship1–2
Southampton — Swansea City · Championship0–0
Swansea City — Southampton · Championship1–3
Southampton — Swansea City · Championship5–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Southampton favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Swansea City in 6 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Southampton6 matchesSwansea City6 matches
2.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored6/61.33 goals/match
1.17 goals/matchGoals allowed6/6▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.73 xG/match ▲Expected goals6/61.51 xG/match
16.8 shots/match ▲Shots6/612.2 shots/match
4.5 shots/matchShots on target6/6▲ 4.83 shots/match
58%Possession6/6● 59.2%
6.67 corners/match ●Corners6/65 corners/match
8.83 fouls/matchFouls6/69.33 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 8 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsSouthamptonSwansea City
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headSouthampton — Swansea City
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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