Championship · 2026

Preston North End 2–1 Blackburn Rovers · Championship

2–1Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Preston North End won 2–1.

Shots
812
Shots on target
35
Expected goals
1.540.73
Possession
33%67%

Full time

What the match recorded

Preston North End beat Blackburn Rovers 2–1. Recorded in this match (Preston North End – Blackburn Rovers): shots 8–12, shots on target 3–5, expected goals 1.54–0.73, possession 33%–67%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Preston North End, Blackburn Rovers.

3.7 days ▲Rest daysPreston North End · Blackburn Rovers3.7 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricPreston North EndBlackburn RoversBaseline
Rest days3.7 days3.7 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots12 shotsPreston North End 8 shots, Blackburn Rovers 12 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots5 shotsPreston North End 3 shots, Blackburn Rovers 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.54 xG0.73 xGPreston North End 1.54 xG, Blackburn Rovers 0.73 xG
  • Possession33%67%Preston North End 33%, Blackburn Rovers 67%
  • Corners3 corners11 cornersPreston North End 3 corners, Blackburn Rovers 11 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls9 foulsPreston North End 11 fouls, Blackburn Rovers 9 fouls
  • Yellow cards4 cards2 cardsPreston North End 4 cards, Blackburn Rovers 2 cards
  • Passes244 passes519 passesPreston North End 244 passes, Blackburn Rovers 519 passes
  • Pass accuracy65.6%81.1%Preston North End 65.6%, Blackburn Rovers 81.1%
  • Shots inside box5 shots6 shotsPreston North End 5 shots, Blackburn Rovers 6 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks2 blocksPreston North End 2 blocks, Blackburn Rovers 2 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves1 savePreston North End 5 saves, Blackburn Rovers 1 save
  • Offsides1 offside5 offsidesPreston North End 1 offside, Blackburn Rovers 5 offsides

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Ryan Alebiosu · Blackburn Rovers · 25′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 77′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSam Morsy · Blackburn Rovers · 19′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAndri Guðjohnsen · Blackburn Rovers · 24′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJordan Thompson · Preston North End · 72′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJayden Fevrier · Blackburn Rovers · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOladapo Afolayan · Blackburn Rovers · 34′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJayden Fevrier · Blackburn Rovers · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDelano Burgzorg · Preston North End · 9′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 35′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJayden Fevrier · Blackburn Rovers · 73′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJusef Erabi · Preston North End · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedYuri Ribeiro · Blackburn Rovers · 7′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTodd Cantwell · Blackburn Rovers · 6′ · 0.10 xG · on targetJordan Thompson · Preston North End · 41′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedStanley Mills · Blackburn Rovers · 51′ · 0.11 xG · goalAlfie Devine · Preston North End · 71′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDelano Burgzorg · Preston North End · 58′ · 0.22 xG · on targetRyoya Morishita · Blackburn Rovers · 23′ · 0.27 xG · off target or blockedCallum Lang · Preston North End · 27′ · 0.36 xG · goalCallum Lang · Preston North End · 9′ · 0.61 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Preston North End: 8 shots, 3 on target, 1.54 xG. Blackburn Rovers: 13 shots, 6 on target, 0.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Callum Lang · Preston North End · 9′Callum Lang · Preston North End · 27′Stanley Mills · Blackburn Rovers · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Preston North End 1.54 xG · Blackburn Rovers 0.83 xG.

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Preston North End3-4-2-1
  1. Daniel IversenG
  2. Harry ClarkeD
  3. Liam LindsayD
  4. Caleb WileyD
  5. Stanley MillsD
  6. Lewis GibsonD
  7. Jordan ThompsonM
  8. Leo LeroyM
  9. Alfie DevineF
  10. Jusef ErabiF
  11. Delano BurgzorgF
Blackburn Rovers4-2-3-1
  1. Aynsley PearsG
  2. Ryan AlebiosuD
  3. Yuri RibeiroD
  4. Sean McLoughlinD
  5. Jake GarrettD
  6. Sam MorsyM
  7. Todd CantwellM
  8. Kristi MontgomeryM
  9. Andri GuðjohnsenF
  10. Oladapo AfolayanF
  11. Ryoya MorishitaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0Preston North End
2Draws
3Blackburn Rovers
Blackburn Rovers — Preston North End · Championship1–0
Preston North End — Blackburn Rovers · Championship1–2
Blackburn Rovers — Preston North End · Championship2–1
Preston North End — Blackburn Rovers · Championship0–0
Preston North End — Blackburn Rovers · Championship2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Preston North End favored in 5 of 13 directional metrics · Blackburn Rovers in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Preston North End5 matchesBlackburn Rovers5 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored5/5▲ 1.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/5▲ 1.4 goals/match
1.26 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.76 xG/match
12.2 shots/match ▲Shots5/59.6 shots/match
2.6 shots/matchShots on target5/5▲ 3.8 shots/match
43.6%Possession5/5● 51.4%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/5● 5.6 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

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