Burnley 1–2 Bristol City · Championship
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Bristol City won 1–2.
- Shots
- 8–15
- Shots on target
- 2–4
- Expected goals
- 0.26–1.06
- Possession
- 53%–47%
Full time
What the match recorded
Bristol City beat Burnley 2–1. Recorded in this match (Burnley – Bristol City): shots 8–15, shots on target 2–4, expected goals 0.26–1.06, possession 53%–47%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Recent scheduling adds useful context
moderateA compressed recent schedule is recorded for Burnley, Bristol City.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.
Window: previous 14 days
| Metric | Burnley | Bristol City | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rest days | 2.79 days | 3.8 days | — |
| Matches last 14 days | 3 matches | 2 matches | — |
Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.
Bristol City have a visible away split
weakBristol City's away-only shot average is above their full-season average.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.
Window: away
| Metric | Away only | Season | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 13.7 shots/match | 11.6 shots/match | 13.3 shots/match |
Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.
The teams have contrasting possession records
moderateBurnley have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.6 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Burnley | Bristol City | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 50.6% | 42% | 51% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
As it happened
Key moments
- 45′Hjalmar EkdalYellow card · Burnley
- Half-time
- 56′Aaron RamseyGoal · Burnley
- 82′Rob DickieGoal · Bristol City
- 83′Kyle WalkerYellow card · Burnley
- 90′Yu HirakawaGoal · Bristol City
- 90′Armando BrojaYellow card · Burnley
- Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
- 46′Burnley · 2 player changesArmando Broja · Anel Ahmedhodžić
- 61′Bristol City · 1 player changeYu Hirakawa
- 62′Bristol City · 1 player changeDominic Ballard
- 63′Burnley · 1 player changeZeki Amdouni
- 70′Burnley · 1 player changeJacob Bruun Larsen
- 72′Bristol City · 2 player changesGeorge Tanner · Sam Greenwood
- 80′Bristol City · 1 player changeElijah Adebayo
- 85′Burnley · 1 player changeHannibal Mejbri
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.
- Max WeissG
- Kyle WalkerD
- Connor RobertsD
- Anel AhmedhodžićD
- Hjalmar EkdalD
- Jacob Bruun LarsenM
- Ugo RaghouberM
- Hannibal MejbriM
- Zeki AmdouniF
- Dastan SatpaevF
- Andreas HountondjiF
- Sam TickleG
- Lisav Naif EissatD
- Rob DickieD
- Rio CardinesD
- Noah EileD
- Adam RandellM
- Scott TwineM
- Jason KnightM
- Yu HirakawaF
- Lorent TolajF
- Dominic BallardF
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Burnley favored in 6 of 13 directional metrics · Bristol City in 5 · 2 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Window
Home–Away
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
Burnley / Bristol City
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Team rankings in Championship
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.
Burnley
Middlesbrough
West Ham United
Derby County
West Bromwich Albion
Watford
Sheffield United
Norwich City