PitchMath
Championship · 2026

West Bromwich Albion 1–0 Watford · Championship

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

West Bromwich Albion won 1–0.

Shots
911
Shots on target
42
Expected goals
1.141.26
Possession
51%49%

Full time

What the match recorded

West Bromwich Albion beat Watford 1–0. Recorded in this match (West Bromwich Albion – Watford): shots 9–11, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.14–1.26, possession 51%–49%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

moderate

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for West Bromwich Albion, Watford.

2.8 days ▲Rest daysWest Bromwich Albion · Watford3.8 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionWatfordBaseline
Rest days2.8 days3.8 days—
Matches last 14 days3 matches3 matches—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Watford have a visible away split

weak

Watford's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season12.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match12.2 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

West Bromwich Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.4% ●PossessionWest Bromwich Albion · Watford40.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 14.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricWest Bromwich AlbionWatfordBaseline
Possession54.4%40.4%51%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsWest Bromwich Albion 9 shots, Watford 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots2 shotsWest Bromwich Albion 4 shots, Watford 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.14 xG1.26 xGWest Bromwich Albion 1.14 xG, Watford 1.26 xG
  • Possession51%49%West Bromwich Albion 51%, Watford 49%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersWest Bromwich Albion 5 corners, Watford 4 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls11 foulsWest Bromwich Albion 18 fouls, Watford 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards5 cards3 cardsWest Bromwich Albion 5 cards, Watford 3 cards
  • Passes441 passes414 passesWest Bromwich Albion 441 passes, Watford 414 passes
  • Pass accuracy86.2%82.1%West Bromwich Albion 86.2%, Watford 82.1%
  • Shots inside box7 shots8 shotsWest Bromwich Albion 7 shots, Watford 8 shots
  • Blocked shots3 blocks6 blocksWest Bromwich Albion 3 blocks, Watford 6 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves2 saves3 savesWest Bromwich Albion 2 saves, Watford 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides0 offsidesWest Bromwich Albion 2 offsides, Watford 0 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 16′Martín PayeroYellow card · Watford
  2. 34′Jimmy MorganYellow card · West Bromwich Albion
  3. 36′Jimmy MorganGoal · West Bromwich Albion
  4. 42′Ousmane DiakitéYellow card · West Bromwich Albion
  5. Half-time
  6. 63′Edo KayembeYellow card · Watford
  7. 88′Nathaniel PhillipsYellow card · West Bromwich Albion
  8. 89′Harry WhitwellYellow card · West Bromwich Albion
  9. 90′Isaac PriceYellow card · West Bromwich Albion
  10. 90′Iker BravoYellow card · Watford
  11. Full time
Player changes · 9grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Watford · 1 player changeEdo Kayembe
  • 59′Watford · 1 player changeSoumaila Coulibaly
  • 67′Watford · 2 player changesAmin Nabizada · Stephy Mavididi
  • 73′West Bromwich Albion · 2 player changesFelix Horn Myhre · Jayson Molumby
  • 81′West Bromwich Albion · 1 player changeNathaniel Phillips
  • 82′Watford · 1 player changeMamadou Doumbia
  • 82′West Bromwich Albion · 1 player changeBarney Stewart

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

West Bromwich Albion4-4-1-1
  1. Max O'LearyG
  2. Nathaniel PhillipsD
  3. Callum StylesD
  4. George CampbellD
  5. Nolan GalvesD
  6. Jayson MolumbyM
  7. Ousmane DiakitéM
  8. Rabby NzingoulaM
  9. Isaac PriceM
  10. Jimmy MorganF
  11. Aune Selland HeggebøF
Watford4-2-3-1
  1. Federico RavagliaG
  2. Kévin Keben BiakoloD
  3. Matthew PollockD
  4. Branimir MlačićD
  5. Jordan ZemuraD
  6. Hector KyprianouM
  7. Edoardo BoveM
  8. Edo KayembeM
  9. Othmane MaammaF
  10. Iker BravoF
  11. Mamadou DoumbiaF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2West Bromwich Albion
1Draws
2Watford
West Bromwich Albion — Watford · Championship3–0
Watford — West Bromwich Albion · Championship2–1
West Bromwich Albion — Watford · Championship2–1
Watford — West Bromwich Albion · Championship2–1
West Bromwich Albion — Watford · Championship2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: West Bromwich Albion favored in 8 of 13 directional metrics · Watford in 3 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

West Bromwich Albion5 matchesWatford5 matches
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals scored5/50.8 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
1.24 xG/match ▲Expected goals5/50.94 xG/match
11 shots/matchShots5/5▲ 12.2 shots/match
4.4 shots/match ▲Shots on target5/53.8 shots/match
54.4% ●Possession5/540.4%
4.8 corners/match ●Corners5/53.4 corners/match
9.8 fouls/matchFouls5/511.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 5 Sept 2026, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Championship

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsWest Bromwich AlbionWatford
CompetitionChampionship
Head-to-headWest Bromwich Albion — Watford
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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