PitchMath
Bundesliga · 2026

1. FC Union Berlin 1–3 FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga

1–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

FC Schalke 04 won 1–3.

Shots
2119
Shots on target
810
Expected goals
2.032.45
Possession
66%34%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Schalke 04 beat 1. FC Union Berlin 3–1. Recorded in this match (1. FC Union Berlin – FC Schalke 04): shots 21–19, shots on target 8–10, expected goals 2.03–2.45, possession 66%–34%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

1. FC Union Berlin have recorded the higher season possession share.

50% ●Possession1. FC Union Berlin · FC Schalke 0434.7%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 15.3 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric1. FC Union BerlinFC Schalke 04Baseline
Possession50%34.7%42.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots19 shots1. FC Union Berlin 21 shots, FC Schalke 04 19 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots10 shots1. FC Union Berlin 8 shots, FC Schalke 04 10 shots
  • Expected goals2.03 xG2.45 xG1. FC Union Berlin 2.03 xG, FC Schalke 04 2.45 xG
  • Possession66%34%1. FC Union Berlin 66%, FC Schalke 04 34%
  • Corners4 corners5 corners1. FC Union Berlin 4 corners, FC Schalke 04 5 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls10 fouls1. FC Union Berlin 11 fouls, FC Schalke 04 10 fouls
  • Yellow cards3 cards1 card1. FC Union Berlin 3 cards, FC Schalke 04 1 card
  • Passes502 passes264 passes1. FC Union Berlin 502 passes, FC Schalke 04 264 passes
  • Pass accuracy74.9%58%1. FC Union Berlin 74.9%, FC Schalke 04 58%
  • Shots inside box18 shots11 shots1. FC Union Berlin 18 shots, FC Schalke 04 11 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks3 blocks1. FC Union Berlin 7 blocks, FC Schalke 04 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves6 saves7 saves1. FC Union Berlin 6 saves, FC Schalke 04 7 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides3 offsides1. FC Union Berlin 2 offsides, FC Schalke 04 3 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 25′Robin GosensGoal · FC Schalke 04
  2. 45′Aljoscha KemleinYellow card · 1. FC Union Berlin
  3. Half-time
  4. 46′Adil AouchicheGoal · FC Schalke 04
  5. 74′Marin LjubičićYellow card · 1. FC Union Berlin
  6. 79′Felix UduokhaiYellow card · 1. FC Union Berlin
  7. 90′Tim SkarkeGoal · 1. FC Union Berlin
  8. 90′Loris KariusYellow card · FC Schalke 04
  9. 90′Maximilian WöberGoal · FC Schalke 04
  10. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 21′FC Schalke 04 · 1 player changeEric Ebimbe
  • 46′1. FC Union Berlin · 2 player changesAndrás Schäfer · Marin Ljubičić
  • 76′1. FC Union Berlin · 1 player changeTim Skarke
  • 80′FC Schalke 04 · 3 player changesHwang Hee-chan · Edin Džeko · Maximilian Wöber
  • 85′1. FC Union Berlin · 1 player changeJanik Haberer
  • 90′1. FC Union Berlin · 1 player changeRobert Skov
  • 90′FC Schalke 04 · 1 player changeJanik Bachmann

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

1. FC Union Berlin4-4-2
  1. Frederik RønnowG
  2. Felix UduokhaiD
  3. Zeno Van Den BoschD
  4. Tom Alexander RotheD
  5. Josip JuranovićD
  6. Aljoscha KemleinM
  7. Rani KhediraM
  8. Livan BurcuM
  9. Michel AebischerM
  10. Marin LjubičićF
  11. Emmanuel Latte LathF
FC Schalke 043-4-2-1
  1. Loris KariusG
  2. Hasan KuruçayD
  3. Timo BeckerD
  4. Robin GosensD
  5. Nikola KatićD
  6. Eric EbimbeD
  7. Satoshi TanakaM
  8. Soufiane El-FaouziM
  9. Moussa SyllaF
  10. Dejan LjubičićF
  11. Adil AouchicheF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

11. FC Union Berlin
1Draws
0FC Schalke 04
1. FC Union Berlin — FC Schalke 04 · Bundesliga0–0
FC Schalke 04 — 1. FC Union Berlin · Bundesliga1–6

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: 1. FC Union Berlin favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · FC Schalke 04 in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

1. FC Union Berlin3 matchesFC Schalke 043 matches
1.33 goals/match ▲Goals scored3/31 goal/match
3.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 1.33 goals/match
1.45 xG/matchExpected goals3/31.4 xG/match
14.7 shots/match ▲Shots3/311.3 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/35.33 shots/match
50% ●Possession3/334.7%
3.33 corners/match ●Corners3/32.67 corners/match
11.3 fouls/matchFouls3/37 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 22:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Bundesliga

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
Teams1. FC Union BerlinFC Schalke 04
CompetitionBundesliga
Head-to-head1. FC Union Berlin — FC Schalke 04
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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