PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Paris Saint-Germain 1–2 AS Monaco · Ligue 1

1–2Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

AS Monaco won 1–2.

Shots
234
Shots on target
102
Expected goals
2.190.52
Possession
68%32%

Full time

What the match recorded

AS Monaco beat Paris Saint-Germain 2–1. Recorded in this match (Paris Saint-Germain – AS Monaco): shots 23–4, shots on target 10–2, expected goals 2.19–0.52, possession 68%–32%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AS Monaco show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

AS Monaco's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

20 shots/match ▲ShotsParis Saint-Germain · AS Monaco10 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainAS MonacoBaseline
Shots20 shots/match10 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots against7.33 shots/match16.7 shots/match15.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Paris Saint-Germain have recorded the higher season possession share.

70.3% ●PossessionParis Saint-Germain · AS Monaco39%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 31.3 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricParis Saint-GermainAS MonacoBaseline
Possession70.3%39%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots4 shotsParis Saint-Germain 23 shots, AS Monaco 4 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots2 shotsParis Saint-Germain 10 shots, AS Monaco 2 shots
  • Expected goals2.19 xG0.52 xGParis Saint-Germain 2.19 xG, AS Monaco 0.52 xG
  • Possession68%32%Paris Saint-Germain 68%, AS Monaco 32%
  • Corners6 corners0 cornersParis Saint-Germain 6 corners, AS Monaco 0 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls11 foulsParis Saint-Germain 9 fouls, AS Monaco 11 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card1 cardParis Saint-Germain 1 card, AS Monaco 1 card
  • Passes755 passes352 passesParis Saint-Germain 755 passes, AS Monaco 352 passes
  • Pass accuracy91%83.5%Paris Saint-Germain 91%, AS Monaco 83.5%
  • Shots inside box8 shots2 shotsParis Saint-Germain 8 shots, AS Monaco 2 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks0 blocksParis Saint-Germain 7 blocks, AS Monaco 0 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves0 saves9 savesParis Saint-Germain 0 saves, AS Monaco 9 saves
  • Offsides5 offsides2 offsidesParis Saint-Germain 5 offsides, AS Monaco 2 offsides

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 31′MarquinhosGoal · Paris Saint-Germain
  2. Half-time
  3. 58′NazinhoGoal · AS Monaco
  4. 68′Jordan TezeYellow card · AS Monaco
  5. 68′Lucas HernándezYellow card · Paris Saint-Germain
  6. 72′Stanis Idumbo MuzamboGoal · AS Monaco
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 52′AS Monaco · 1 player changeJordan Teze
  • 63′Paris Saint-Germain · 1 player changeFerran Torres
  • 64′Paris Saint-Germain · 1 player changeLucas Hernández
  • 69′Paris Saint-Germain · 2 player changesOusmane Dembélé · Mika Godts
  • 73′AS Monaco · 2 player changesMatthis Abline · Anis Soubeir
  • 76′Paris Saint-Germain · 1 player changeDro Fernández
  • 87′AS Monaco · 2 player changesSafouane Benzahra · Christian Mawissa

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Paris Saint-Germain4-3-3
  1. Matvey SafonovG
  2. Achraf HakimiD
  3. MarquinhosD
  4. Lucas HernándezD
  5. Willian PachoD
  6. Fabián RuizM
  7. VitinhaM
  8. Warren Zaïre-EmeryM
  9. Khvicha KvaratskheliaF
  10. Ferran TorresF
  11. Désiré DouéF
AS Monaco4-2-3-1
  1. Lukáš HrádeckýG
  2. VandersonD
  3. Eric DierD
  4. NazinhoD
  5. Sadibou SanéD
  6. Denis ZakariaM
  7. Aleksandr GolovinM
  8. Lamine CamaraM
  9. Stanis Idumbo MuzamboF
  10. Mamadou CoulibalyF
  11. Paris BrunnerF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2Paris Saint-Germain
1Draws
2AS Monaco
Paris Saint-Germain — AS Monaco · Ligue 11–3
Paris Saint-Germain — AS Monaco · UEFA Champions League2–2
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · UEFA Champions League2–3
AS Monaco — Paris Saint-Germain · Ligue 11–0
Paris Saint-Germain — AS Monaco · Ligue 14–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Paris Saint-Germain favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · AS Monaco in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Paris Saint-Germain3 matchesAS Monaco3 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.33 goals/match
1.8 xG/match ▲Expected goals3/31.13 xG/match
20 shots/match ▲Shots3/310 shots/match
6.33 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34.67 shots/match
70.3% ●Possession3/339%
7 corners/match ●Corners3/33 corners/match
7.33 fouls/matchFouls3/310.7 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 4 Sept 2026, 23:05 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsParis Saint-GermainAS Monaco
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headParis Saint-Germain — AS Monaco
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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