PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Olympique de Marseille 2–3 Paris FC · Ligue 1

2–3Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Paris FC won 2–3.

Shots
1418
Shots on target
57
Expected goals
1.452.99
Possession
60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

Paris FC beat Olympique de Marseille 3–2. Recorded in this match (Olympique de Marseille – Paris FC): shots 14–18, shots on target 5–7, expected goals 1.45–2.99, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

64% ●PossessionOlympique de Marseille · Paris FC48%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 16.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleParis FCBaseline
Possession64%48%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Paris FC show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Paris FC's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.7 shots/match ▲ShotsOlympique de Marseille · Paris FC14.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricOlympique de MarseilleParis FCBaseline
Shots13.7 shots/match14.3 shots/match14.5 shots/match
Shots against11.3 shots/match12.7 shots/match15 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots14 shots18 shotsOlympique de Marseille 14 shots, Paris FC 18 shots
  • Shots on target5 shots7 shotsOlympique de Marseille 5 shots, Paris FC 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.45 xG2.99 xGOlympique de Marseille 1.45 xG, Paris FC 2.99 xG
  • Possession60%40%Olympique de Marseille 60%, Paris FC 40%
  • Corners5 corners4 cornersOlympique de Marseille 5 corners, Paris FC 4 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls12 foulsOlympique de Marseille 10 fouls, Paris FC 12 fouls
  • Yellow cards0 cards2 cardsOlympique de Marseille 0 cards, Paris FC 2 cards
  • Passes644 passes422 passesOlympique de Marseille 644 passes, Paris FC 422 passes
  • Pass accuracy92.6%82.5%Olympique de Marseille 92.6%, Paris FC 82.5%
  • Shots inside box10 shots12 shotsOlympique de Marseille 10 shots, Paris FC 12 shots
  • Blocked shots2 blocks3 blocksOlympique de Marseille 2 blocks, Paris FC 3 blocks
  • Goalkeeper saves4 saves3 savesOlympique de Marseille 4 saves, Paris FC 3 saves
  • Offsides2 offsides1 offsideOlympique de Marseille 2 offsides, Paris FC 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 1′Lassine SinayokoGoal · Paris FC
  2. 8′Amine GouiriGoal · Olympique de Marseille
  3. 19′Lassine SinayokoGoal · Paris FC
  4. Half-time
  5. 53′Amine GouiriGoal · Olympique de Marseille
  6. 65′Rudy MatondoYellow card · Paris FC
  7. 86′Lassine SinayokoPenalty goal · Paris FC
  8. 87′Lassine SinayokoYellow card · Paris FC
  9. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 64′Paris FC · 1 player changeRudy Matondo
  • 72′Olympique de Marseille · 1 player changeTadjidine Mmadi
  • 73′Olympique de Marseille · 2 player changesKeyliane Abdallah · Derek Cornelius
  • 78′Paris FC · 2 player changesMoses Simon · Patrick Zabi
  • 90′Paris FC · 2 player changesMoustapha Mbow · Omar Sissoko
  • 90′Olympique de Marseille · 2 player changesUlisses Garcia · Faris Moumbagna

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Olympique de Marseille4-2-3-1
  1. Jeffrey De LangeG
  2. Conrad Jaden Egan-RileyD
  3. Nayef AguerdD
  4. Timothy WeahD
  5. EmersonD
  6. Angel GomesM
  7. Himad AbdelliM
  8. Pierre-Emile HøjbjergM
  9. Amine GouiriF
  10. Igor PaixãoF
  11. Amine HaritF
Paris FC4-2-3-1
  1. Kevin TrappG
  2. Hamari TraoréD
  3. Adama CamaraD
  4. Samir CherguiD
  5. Diego CoppolaD
  6. Pablo PagisM
  7. Maxime LópezM
  8. Pierre Lees MelouM
  9. Lassine SinayokoF
  10. Ilan KebbalF
  11. Moses SimonF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Olympique de Marseille
1Draws
0Paris FC
Paris FC — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 12–2
Olympique de Marseille — Paris FC · Ligue 15–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Olympique de Marseille favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Paris FC in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Olympique de Marseille3 matchesParis FC3 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored3/32 goals/match
1.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/3▲ 0.67 goals/match
1.52 xG/matchExpected goals3/3▲ 2.55 xG/match
13.7 shots/matchShots3/314.3 shots/match
5 shots/match ▲Shots on target3/34 shots/match
64% ●Possession3/348%
5 corners/match ●Corners3/32.67 corners/match
8.67 fouls/matchFouls3/311 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples3 / 3home / away teams
Recent samples3 / 3last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 6 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsOlympique de MarseilleParis FC
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headOlympique de Marseille — Paris FC
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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