PitchMath
Ligue 1 · 2026

Stade Rennais 1–0 Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 1

1–0Full-time analysis

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

Match at a glance

Stade Rennais won 1–0.

Shots
2013
Shots on target
75
Expected goals
1.850.97
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

Stade Rennais beat Olympique de Marseille 1–0. Recorded in this match (Stade Rennais – Olympique de Marseille): shots 20–13, shots on target 7–5, expected goals 1.85–0.97, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

weak

Olympique de Marseille have recorded the higher season possession share.

49.8%PossessionStade Rennais · Olympique de Marseille● 60.8%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.0 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricStade RennaisOlympique de MarseilleBaseline
Possession49.8%60.8%49%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots13 shotsStade Rennais 20 shots, Olympique de Marseille 13 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots5 shotsStade Rennais 7 shots, Olympique de Marseille 5 shots
  • Expected goals1.85 xG0.97 xGStade Rennais 1.85 xG, Olympique de Marseille 0.97 xG
  • Possession49%51%Stade Rennais 49%, Olympique de Marseille 51%
  • Corners3 corners5 cornersStade Rennais 3 corners, Olympique de Marseille 5 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls13 foulsStade Rennais 15 fouls, Olympique de Marseille 13 fouls
  • Yellow cards1 card4 cardsStade Rennais 1 card, Olympique de Marseille 4 cards
  • Passes496 passes525 passesStade Rennais 496 passes, Olympique de Marseille 525 passes
  • Pass accuracy84.1%84.2%Stade Rennais 84.1%, Olympique de Marseille 84.2%
  • Shots inside box13 shots8 shotsStade Rennais 13 shots, Olympique de Marseille 8 shots
  • Blocked shots7 blocks1 blockStade Rennais 7 blocks, Olympique de Marseille 1 block
  • Goalkeeper saves5 saves6 savesStade Rennais 5 saves, Olympique de Marseille 6 saves
  • Offsides1 offside1 offsideStade Rennais 1 offside, Olympique de Marseille 1 offside

As it happened

Key moments

  1. 33′Himad AbdelliYellow card · Olympique de Marseille
  2. 43′Przemysław FrankowskiYellow card · Stade Rennais
  3. 43′Igor PaixãoYellow card · Olympique de Marseille
  4. Half-time
  5. 53′Adrien ThomassonGoal · Stade Rennais
  6. 85′Amine HaritYellow card · Olympique de Marseille
  7. Full time
Player changes · 10grouped by team and minute
  • 46′Stade Rennais · 1 player changeMousa Tamari
  • 65′Olympique de Marseille · 1 player changeKeyliane Abdallah
  • 68′Stade Rennais · 1 player changeBryan Reynolds
  • 78′Olympique de Marseille · 1 player changeNeal Maupay
  • 78′Stade Rennais · 2 player changesSebastian Szymański · Boulaye Dia
  • 86′Stade Rennais · 1 player changeEliezer Mayenda
  • 88′Olympique de Marseille · 2 player changesTadjidine Mmadi · Faris Moumbagna
  • 89′Olympique de Marseille · 1 player changeDerek Cornelius

Who started

Lineups

Show both lineups

Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.

Stade Rennais4-3-3
  1. Brice SambaG
  2. Charlie CresswellD
  3. Anthony RouaultD
  4. Quentin MerlinD
  5. Przemysław FrankowskiD
  6. Sebastian SzymańskiM
  7. Valentin RongierM
  8. Mahdi CamaraM
  9. Esteban LepaulF
  10. Ludovic BlasF
  11. Mousa TamariF
Olympique de Marseille4-2-3-1
  1. Jeffrey De LangeG
  2. Conrad Jaden Egan-RileyD
  3. Nayef AguerdD
  4. Timothy WeahD
  5. EmersonD
  6. Angel GomesM
  7. Himad AbdelliM
  8. Pierre-Emile HøjbjergM
  9. Amine GouiriF
  10. Igor PaixãoF
  11. Amine HaritF

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Stade Rennais
0Draws
4Olympique de Marseille
Olympique de Marseille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 13–1
Olympique de Marseille — Stade Rennais · Coupe de France3–0
Stade Rennais — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–0
Olympique de Marseille — Stade Rennais · Ligue 14–2
Stade Rennais — Olympique de Marseille · Ligue 11–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Stade Rennais favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Olympique de Marseille in 0 · 13 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Stade Rennais4 matchesOlympique de Marseille4 matches
2 goals/match ▲Goals scored4/41.5 goals/match
1.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed4/41.5 goals/match
1.74 xG/match ▲Expected goals4/41.38 xG/match
17 shots/match ▲Shots4/413.5 shots/match
5.75 shots/match ▲Shots on target4/45 shots/match
49.8%Possession4/4● 60.8%
4.25 corners/matchCorners4/4● 5 corners/match
13 fouls/matchFouls4/49.75 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidenceLimited evidence — limited
Season samples4 / 4home / away teams
Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 11 Sept 2026, 22:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Ligue 1

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsStade RennaisOlympique de Marseille
CompetitionLigue 1
Head-to-headStade Rennais — Olympique de Marseille
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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