Brighton & Hove Albion 1–1 Leeds United · Premier League
This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.
Match at a glance
Brighton & Hove Albion and Leeds United drew 1–1.
- Shots
- 20–10
- Shots on target
- 5–5
- Expected goals
- 1.86–2.7
- Possession
- 67%–33%
Full time
What the match recorded
Brighton & Hove Albion and Leeds United drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Brighton & Hove Albion – Leeds United): shots 20–10, shots on target 5–5, expected goals 1.86–2.7, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.
Pre-match record
What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.
Brighton & Hove Albion show a distinct attacking-volume record
weakBrighton & Hove Albion's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.
Window: season
| Metric | Brighton & Hove Albion | Leeds United | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Shots | 18.7 shots/match | 11 shots/match | 12.2 shots/match |
| Shots against | 11 shots/match | 18 shots/match | 13.2 shots/match |
Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.
The teams have contrasting possession records
weakBrighton & Hove Albion have recorded the higher season possession share.
Evidence and caveat
Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 29.7 percentage points.
Window: season
| Metric | Brighton & Hove Albion | Leeds United | Baseline |
|---|---|---|---|
| Possession | 71.3% | 41.7% | 46.2% |
Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.
This match
Match statistics
Every shot
Shot map
Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.
- off target
- on target
- goal
- penalty
- size = xG
Brighton & Hove Albion: 20 shots, 5 on target, 1.83 xG. Leeds United: 10 shots, 5 on target, 2.82 xG.
How the match built
Expected-goals timeline
Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.
The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Brighton & Hove Albion 1.83 xG · Leeds United 2.82 xG.
Who started
Lineups
Show both lineups
Confirmed lineups as published before kick-off.
- Bart VerbruggenG
- Lewis DunkD
- Olivier BoscagliD
- Ferdi KadıoğluD
- Luka VuškovićD
- Pascal GroßM
- Yasin AyariM
- Malick YalcouyéM
- Charalampos KostoulasF
- Diego GómezF
- Maxim De CuyperF
- James TraffordG
- Jayden BogleD
- Tarik MuharemovićD
- Jaka BijolD
- James JustinD
- Nico ElvediD
- Ethan AmpaduM
- Anton StachM
- Dominic Calvert-LewinF
- Harry WilsonF
- Noah OkaforF
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams.
Last 5 meetings
Metric comparison
Team comparison
Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.
Season: Brighton & Hove Albion favored in 0 of 13 directional metrics · Leeds United in 0 · 13 too close
Window
Season
Window
Last 10
Window
Last 5
Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.
Possession control
Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.
Attacking volume
Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.
Defensive resistance
Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.
Directness proxy
Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.
Physicality
Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.
Set-piece relevance
Corner volume relative to competition peers.
Tempo and pressure proxy
Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.
- Rest before fixture · Both teams: 6.04 days
- Matches in previous 14 days · Both teams: 2 matches
Brighton & Hove Albion / Leeds United
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Team rankings in Premier League
Make a graphic from this match
Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.
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