Aston Villa
Premier League · 202630-second read
What the record shows
The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
History
Head-to-head
Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.
Season-opening preview
Current-season evidence is still building.
This competition's new season has only just started, so PitchMath does not yet hold enough completed matches for a current-season grade. The comparison below is last season's recorded data, shown as historical context.
0 / 2 matches toward the first current-season grade
Previous-season context
Recorded season totals from the source competition. Not current form.
Both clubs played the same competition and season, so these values are directly comparable.
Aston Villa
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.47 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.29 goals/match
- Expected goals1.33 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.25 xG/match
- Shots12.6 shots/match
- Shots allowed12.8 shots/match
- Shots on target4.45 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.37 shots/match
- Possession53.5%
- Corners5.18 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.92 corners/match
- Cards1.62 cards/match
- Fouls9.74 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency24%
- Scoring frequency74%
Nottingham Forest
- Competition
- Premier League
- Season
- 2025/26
- Sample
- 38 matches
- Profile grade
- A
- Data cutoff
- 24 May 2026
- Goals scored1.26 goals/match
- Goals allowed1.34 goals/match
- Expected goals1.4 xG/match
- Expected goals allowed1.39 xG/match
- Shots12.5 shots/match
- Shots allowed13.3 shots/match
- Shots on target4.08 shots/match
- Shots on target allowed4.29 shots/match
- Possession46.8%
- Corners5.21 corners/match
- Corners allowed4.82 corners/match
- Cards1.55 cards/match
- Fouls10.8 fouls/match
- Clean-sheet frequency24%
- Scoring frequency63%
Evidence quality
How much supports this analysis
- At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
- At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
- Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
- At least one team lacks a recent completed match near this fixture cutoff.
- Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.
Known unknowns
- Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
- Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
- The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
- The nearest completed-match evidence is stale relative to this fixture cutoff.
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