UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 26 Aug 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeAlphamega StadiumFull-time recap
11Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricPafos FCFK Crvena zvezda
Shots11 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target5 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession50%50%
Corners3 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls17 fouls/match17 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Pafos FC
0Draws
0FK Crvena zvezda
FK Crvena zvezdaPafos FC · UEFA Champions League12

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Pafos FC favored in 2 of 14 directional metrics · FK Crvena zvezda in 1 · 11 too close

1.33 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/62 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/61 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
Shotsseason · 2/316.3 shots/match
Shots allowedseason · 2/312 shots/match
Shots on targetseason · 2/35 shots/match
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/34 shots/match
Possessionseason · 2/349.3%
Cornersseason · 2/36.67 corners/match
Corners allowedseason · 2/33.67 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/312.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/617%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/6100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Pafos FC
FK Crvena zvezda45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 33%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Pafos FC42.9
FK Crvena zvezda74.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Pafos FC85.7
FK Crvena zvezda52
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Pafos FC
FK Crvena zvezda75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 33%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Pafos FC
FK Crvena zvezda45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 17%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Pafos FC
FK Crvena zvezda85
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 33%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Pafos FC
FK Crvena zvezda67.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 33%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
0.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.2 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/316.3 shots/match
Shots on target2/35 shots/match
Possession2/349.3%
Corners2/36.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/312.3 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/62 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/316.3 shots/match
Shots on target2/35 shots/match
Possession2/349.3%
Corners2/36.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/312.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored6/62 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/316.3 shots/match
Shots on target2/35 shots/match
Possession2/349.3%
Corners2/36.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/312.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
1.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
0.67 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.67 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots1/2
Shots on target1/2
Possession1/2
Corners1/2
Cards0/0
Fouls1/2

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 26 Aug 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match