UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 12 Aug 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeStadium Rajko MitićFull-time recap

FK Crvena zvezda

WWW

1–1Full-time recap

Lech Poznań

WWL

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1FK Crvena zvezda

0Draws

0Lech Poznań

6 Aug 2025Lech Poznań — FK Crvena zvezda · UEFA Champions League1–3

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FK Crvena zvezda favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Lech Poznań in 0 · 14 too close

2.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 4/42.5 goals/match

0.75 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 4/41.25 goals/match

—Expected goalsseason · 0/0—

—Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0—

—Shotsseason · 1/1—

—Shots allowedseason · 1/1—

—Shots on targetseason · 1/1—

—Shots on target allowedseason · 1/1—

—Possessionseason · 1/1—

—Cornersseason · 1/1—

—Corners allowedseason · 1/1—

—Cardsseason · 0/0—

—Foulsseason · 1/1—

—Passesseason · 0/0—

—Pass accuracyseason · 0/0—

—Shots inside boxseason · 0/0—

—Blocked shotsseason · 0/0—

—Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0—

—Offsidesseason · 0/0—

25%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 4/425%

100%Scoring frequencyseason · 4/4100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FK Crvena zvezda—

Lech Poznań—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 25%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FK Crvena zvezda94

Lech Poznań94

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FK Crvena zvezda74

Lech Poznań48

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FK Crvena zvezda—

Lech Poznań—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 25%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FK Crvena zvezda—

Lech Poznań—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 13%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FK Crvena zvezda—

Lech Poznań—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 25%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FK Crvena zvezda—

Lech Poznań—

0–100 competition percentile · coverage 25%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

4 / 4 matches

2.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/42.5 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

—Shots1/1—

—Shots on target1/1—

—Possession1/1—

—Corners1/1—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls1/1—

Window

Last 10

4 / 4 matches

2.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/42.5 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

—Shots1/1—

—Shots on target1/1—

—Possession1/1—

—Corners1/1—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls1/1—

Window

Season

4 / 4 matches

2.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/42.5 goals/match

0.75 goals/match▲Goals allowed4/41.25 goals/match

—Expected goals0/0—

—Shots1/1—

—Shots on target1/1—

—Possession1/1—

—Corners1/1—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls1/1—

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

2 / 2 matches

—Goals scored2/2—

—Goals allowed2/2—

—Expected goals0/0—

—Shots0/0—

—Shots on target0/0—

—Possession0/0—

—Corners0/0—

—Cards0/0—

—Fouls0/0—

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

6.02 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/16.02 days

2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited

Season samples4 / 4home / away teams

Recent samples4 / 4last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.

Analysis cutoff: Tue, 12 Aug 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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What the record shows

Head-to-head

Values, percentiles and samples

How the teams compare

Possession control

Attacking volume

Defensive resistance

Directness proxy

Physicality

Set-piece relevance

Tempo and pressure proxy

Season, last 10 and last 5

Last 5

Last 10

Season

Home and away samples

Home team at home / away team away

Rest and recent workload

How much supports this analysis

Known unknowns

Related matches

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