UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 26 Aug 2025, 16:45 UTCFull timeCentral StadiumFull-time recap
00Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKairat AlmatyCeltic
Shots12 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match5 shots/match
Possession33%67%
Corners5 corners/match7 corners/match
Fouls12 fouls/match19 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Kairat Almaty
1Draws
0Celtic
CelticKairat Almaty · UEFA Champions League00

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Kairat Almaty favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Celtic in 0 · 14 too close

0.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/2
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/2
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
11.3 shots/matchShotsseason · 3/2
12.7 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 3/2
3.33 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 3/2
3.33 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 3/2
34.3%Possessionseason · 3/2
4.33 corners/matchCornersseason · 3/2
9.33 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 3/2
Cardsseason · 0/0
14.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 3/2
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
63%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/2
50%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/2

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Kairat Almaty5
Celtic
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 38%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Kairat Almaty14.4
Celtic
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 58%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Kairat Almaty60.2
Celtic
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 58%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Kairat Almaty65
Celtic
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 38%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Kairat Almaty85
Celtic
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 19%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Kairat Almaty5
Celtic
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 38%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Kairat Almaty27.5
Celtic
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 38%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 2 matches
0.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/2
0.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/2
Expected goals0/0
11.3 shots/matchShots3/2
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2
34.3%Possession3/2
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards0/0
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Window

Last 10

8 / 2 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/2
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/2
Expected goals0/0
11.3 shots/matchShots3/2
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2
34.3%Possession3/2
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards0/0
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Window

Season

8 / 2 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/2
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/2
Expected goals0/0
11.3 shots/matchShots3/2
3.33 shots/matchShots on target3/2
34.3%Possession3/2
4.33 corners/matchCorners3/2
Cards0/0
14.7 fouls/matchFouls3/2

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 1 matches
1.5 goals/matchGoals scored4/1
0 goals/matchGoals allowed4/1
Expected goals0/0
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

5.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15.91 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 2home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 2last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • At least one team has fewer than the configured season sample.
  • At least one team has an incomplete last-five window.
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: goals_for, goals_against, xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 26 Aug 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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