UEFA Champions League · 2025Wed, 27 Aug 2025, 16:45 UTCFull timeTofiq BəhramovFull-time recap
23Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricQarabağFerencváros TC
Shots10 shots/match17 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match6 shots/match
Possession41%59%
Corners1 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls14 fouls/match21 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Qarabağ
0Draws
0Ferencváros TC
Ferencváros TCQarabağ · UEFA Champions League13

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Qarabağ favored in 4 of 14 directional metrics · Ferencváros TC in 0 · 10 too close

2.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 6/62.17 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 6/61.5 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
Shotsseason · 2/614.3 shots/match
Shots allowedseason · 2/610.3 shots/match
Shots on targetseason · 2/64.83 shots/match
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/63.33 shots/match
Possessionseason · 2/649.2%
Cornersseason · 2/64.67 corners/match
Corners allowedseason · 2/62.17 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/615.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 6/633%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 6/683%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Qarabağ
Ferencváros TC35
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 33%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Qarabağ92.9
Ferencváros TC60.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Qarabağ69.6
Ferencváros TC51.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 56%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Qarabağ
Ferencváros TC45
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 33%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Qarabağ
Ferencváros TC75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 17%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Qarabağ
Ferencváros TC55
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 33%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Qarabağ
Ferencváros TC56.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 33%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/515.2 shots/match
Shots on target2/54.8 shots/match
Possession2/550.2%
Corners2/54.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/517 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

6 / 6 matches
2.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/62.17 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/614.3 shots/match
Shots on target2/64.83 shots/match
Possession2/649.2%
Corners2/64.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/615.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

6 / 6 matches
2.5 goals/matchGoals scored6/62.17 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/61.5 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/614.3 shots/match
Shots on target2/64.83 shots/match
Possession2/649.2%
Corners2/64.67 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls2/615.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
2.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.67 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/31 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots1/314.7 shots/match
Shots on target1/34.33 shots/match
Possession1/354%
Corners1/35.33 corners/match
Cards0/0
Fouls1/314.7 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.91 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.91 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples6 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Wed, 27 Aug 2025, 20:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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