UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 19 Aug 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeGroupama ArénaFull-time recap
13Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFerencváros TCQarabağ
Shots12 shots/match11 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match4 shots/match
Possession44%56%
Corners4 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls20 fouls/match8 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Ferencváros TC favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Qarabağ in 4 · 10 too close

2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/52.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/50.4 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
13.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 5/1
10.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 5/1
4.6 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 5/1
3.6 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 5/1
47.2%Possessionseason · 5/1
5.2 corners/matchCornersseason · 5/1
2.4 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 5/1
Cardsseason · 0/0
14.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 5/1
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
40%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/560%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Ferencváros TC25
Qarabağ
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 20%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Ferencváros TC54.7
Qarabağ98.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Ferencváros TC49.8
Qarabağ92.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Ferencváros TC58.3
Qarabağ
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 20%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Ferencváros TC75
Qarabağ
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 10%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Ferencváros TC58.3
Qarabağ
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 20%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Ferencváros TC54.2
Qarabağ
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 20%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13.8 shots/matchShots5/1
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/1
47.2%Possession5/1
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/1
Cards0/0
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/1

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13.8 shots/matchShots5/1
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/1
47.2%Possession5/1
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/1
Cards0/0
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/1

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.6 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
13.8 shots/matchShots5/1
4.6 shots/matchShots on target5/1
47.2%Possession5/1
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/1
Cards0/0
14.6 fouls/matchFouls5/1

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
2.67 goals/matchGoals scored3/32.33 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.33 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
14 shots/matchShots3/1
5.33 shots/matchShots on target3/1
44.3%Possession3/1
4 corners/matchCorners3/1
Cards0/0
16.7 fouls/matchFouls3/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.03 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.12 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 19 Aug 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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