UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 19 Aug 2025, 19:00 UTCFull timeStadium Rajko MitićFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricFK Crvena zvezdaPafos FC
Shots25 shots/match14 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match3 shots/match
Possession57%43%
Corners13 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls9 fouls/match17 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The available record does not support a clear cross-team pattern. No second pattern clears the sample and coverage gates. Limitation: Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

FK Crvena zvezda favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Pafos FC in 2 · 11 too close

2.2 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 5/51.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 5/50.4 goals/match
Expected goalsseason · 0/0
Expected goals allowedseason · 0/0
Shotsseason · 2/1
Shots allowedseason · 2/1
Shots on targetseason · 2/1
Shots on target allowedseason · 2/1
Possessionseason · 2/1
Cornersseason · 2/1
Corners allowedseason · 2/1
Cardsseason · 0/0
Foulsseason · 2/1
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
20%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 5/560%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 5/5100%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

FK Crvena zvezda
Pafos FC
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 20%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

FK Crvena zvezda86.5
Pafos FC44.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

FK Crvena zvezda67.3
Pafos FC92.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 47%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

FK Crvena zvezda
Pafos FC
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 20%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

FK Crvena zvezda
Pafos FC
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 10%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

FK Crvena zvezda
Pafos FC
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 20%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

FK Crvena zvezda
Pafos FC
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 20%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/1
Shots on target2/1
Possession2/1
Corners2/1
Cards0/0
Fouls2/1

Window

Last 10

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/1
Shots on target2/1
Possession2/1
Corners2/1
Cards0/0
Fouls2/1

Window

Season

5 / 5 matches
2.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.4 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots2/1
Shots on target2/1
Possession2/1
Corners2/1
Cards0/0
Fouls2/1

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

3 / 3 matches
2.33 goals/matchGoals scored3/31.33 goals/match
1.33 goals/matchGoals allowed3/30.33 goals/match
Expected goals0/0
Shots1/1
Shots on target1/1
Possession1/1
Corners1/1
Cards0/0
Fouls1/1

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17.08 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade C · Limited evidencelimited
Season samples5 / 5home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Paired coverage is below the configured metric threshold.
  • Recorded xG is incomplete, so xG context is omitted where unavailable.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: xg_for, xg_against, shots, shots_on_target, possession, corners, cards, fouls.
  • The completed-match sample is too small for broad style conclusions.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 19 Aug 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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