PitchMath
UEFA Champions League · 2025Johan Cruijff ArenA

AFC Ajax 0–2 Benfica · UEFA Champions League

0–2Historical match

Benfica

WLLLL

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Benfica won 0–2.

Shots
711
Shots on target
34
Expected goals
0.961.17
Possession
62%38%

Full time

What the match recorded

Benfica beat AFC Ajax 2–0. Recorded in this match (AFC Ajax – Benfica): shots 7–11, shots on target 3–4, expected goals 0.96–1.17, possession 62%–38%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AFC Ajax show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AFC Ajax's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

7.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAFC Ajax · Benfica13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAFC AjaxBenficaBaseline
Shots7.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match
Shots against14 shots/match10.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Benfica have a visible away split

moderate

Benfica's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

10 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season13.4 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots10 shots/match13.4 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Benfica's recent record differs from the season

weak

Benfica's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1 goal/match1.6 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots7 shots11 shotsAFC Ajax 7 shots, Benfica 11 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots4 shotsAFC Ajax 3 shots, Benfica 4 shots
  • Expected goals0.96 xG1.17 xGAFC Ajax 0.96 xG, Benfica 1.17 xG
  • Possession62%38%AFC Ajax 62%, Benfica 38%
  • Corners10 corners4 cornersAFC Ajax 10 corners, Benfica 4 corners
  • Fouls15 fouls8 foulsAFC Ajax 15 fouls, Benfica 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Rayane Bounida · AFC Ajax · 50′ · 0.01 xG · on targetRayane Bounida · AFC Ajax · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMika Godts · AFC Ajax · 45′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEnzo Barrenechea · Benfica · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Barreiro · Benfica · 24′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 61′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 6′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSamuel Dahl · Benfica · 6′ · 0.06 xG · goalGeorgiy Sudakov · Benfica · 21′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 15′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedWout Weghorst · AFC Ajax · 31′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRichard Ríos · Benfica · 6′ · 0.08 xG · on targetOscar Gloukh · AFC Ajax · 77′ · 0.08 xG · on targetVangelis Pavlidis · Benfica · 89′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedAmar Dedić · Benfica · 72′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDavy Klaassen · AFC Ajax · 33′ · 0.36 xG · on targetDavy Klaassen · AFC Ajax · 52′ · 0.41 xG · off target or blockedLeandro Barreiro · Benfica · 90′ · 0.51 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AFC Ajax: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.98 xG. Benfica: 11 shots, 4 on target, 1.15 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Samuel Dahl · Benfica · 6′Leandro Barreiro · Benfica · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AFC Ajax 0.98 xG · Benfica 1.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0AFC Ajax
1Draws
1Benfica
AFC Ajax — Benfica · UEFA Champions League0–1
Benfica — AFC Ajax · UEFA Champions League2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AFC Ajax favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Benfica in 9 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AFC Ajax5 matchesBenfica9 matches
0.2 goals/matchGoals scored5/9▲ 1 goal/match
3.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/9▲ 0.89 goals/match
0.99 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.03 xG/match
7.4 shots/matchShots5/9▲ 13.4 shots/match
2 shots/matchShots on target5/9▲ 3.89 shots/match
50.4% ●Possession5/949.6%
4.6 corners/matchCorners5/9● 5.56 corners/match
12 fouls/matchFouls5/911 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples5 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 25 Nov 2025, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAFC AjaxBenfica
CompetitionUEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League 2025/26
Head-to-headAFC Ajax — Benfica
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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