UEFA Champions League · 2025Astana Arena

Kairat Almaty 0–1 Olympiacos FC · UEFA Champions League

0–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Olympiacos FC won 0–1.

Shots
520
Shots on target
18
Expected goals
0.22.28
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Olympiacos FC beat Kairat Almaty 1–0. Recorded in this match (Kairat Almaty – Olympiacos FC): shots 5–20, shots on target 1–8, expected goals 0.2–2.28, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Kairat Almaty's recent record differs from the season

weak

Kairat Almaty's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.79 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.6 goals/match0.79 goals/match1.6 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Olympiacos FC have a visible away split

weak

Olympiacos FC's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.7 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.7 shots/match14.8 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots5 shots20 shotsKairat Almaty 5 shots, Olympiacos FC 20 shots
  • Shots on target1 shot8 shotsKairat Almaty 1 shot, Olympiacos FC 8 shots
  • Expected goals0.2 xG2.28 xGKairat Almaty 0.2 xG, Olympiacos FC 2.28 xG
  • Possession47%53%Kairat Almaty 47%, Olympiacos FC 53%
  • Corners1 corner8 cornersKairat Almaty 1 corner, Olympiacos FC 8 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls14 foulsKairat Almaty 12 fouls, Olympiacos FC 14 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gabriel Strefezza · Olympiacos FC · 77′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 22′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChiquinho · Olympiacos FC · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Olympiacos FC · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJorginho · Kairat Almaty · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetChiquinho · Olympiacos FC · 3′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJorginho · Kairat Almaty · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEdmilson · Kairat Almaty · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSantiago Hezze · Olympiacos FC · 83′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Strefezza · Olympiacos FC · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 7′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDaniel Podence · Olympiacos FC · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAleksandr Mrynskiy · Kairat Almaty · 84′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 73′ · 0.06 xG · goalValeriy Gromyko · Kairat Almaty · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChiquinho · Olympiacos FC · 35′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 79′ · 0.09 xG · on targetGelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 12′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Taremi · Olympiacos FC · 75′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 75′ · 0.14 xG · on targetAyoub El Kaabi · Olympiacos FC · 90′ · 0.61 xG · off target or blockedMehdi Taremi · Olympiacos FC · 76′ · 0.66 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Kairat Almaty: 5 shots, 1 on target, 0.22 xG. Olympiacos FC: 20 shots, 8 on target, 2.35 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Gelson Martins · Olympiacos FC · 73′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Kairat Almaty 0.22 xG · Olympiacos FC 2.35 xG.

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Kairat Almaty favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · Olympiacos FC in 9

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Kairat Almaty14 matchesOlympiacos FC6 matches
0.79 goals/matchGoals scored14/6▲ 1 goal/match
1.36 goals/match ▲Goals allowed14/62.17 goals/match
0.82 xG/matchExpected goals6/6▲ 1.32 xG/match
11.2 shots/matchShots9/6▲ 14.8 shots/match
3.11 shots/matchShots on target9/6▲ 4.67 shots/match
40.9%Possession9/6● 44.8%
3.22 corners/matchCorners9/6● 5 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls9/612.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 6home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 9 Dec 2025, 19:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in UEFA Champions League

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