UEFA Champions League · 2025Tue, 10 Mar 2026, 17:45 UTCFull timeRams Park StadyumuFull-time recap
10Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGalatasarayLiverpool
Shots15 shots/match15 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals1.45 xG/match1.3 xG/match
Possession46%54%
Corners7 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match18 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Mario Lemina · Galatasaray · 35′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAbdülkerim Bardakcı · Galatasaray · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 3′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 18′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIbrahima Konaté · Liverpool · 26′ · 0.02 xG · on targetNoa Lang · Galatasaray · 41′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 82′ · 0.02 xG · on targetCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 84′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsmail Jakobs · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 7′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Galatasaray · 42′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 46′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJeremie Frimpong · Liverpool · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 19′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDominik Szoboszlai · Liverpool · 57′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedAlexis Mac Allister · Liverpool · 47′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedCody Gakpo · Liverpool · 73′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Liverpool · 89′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Liverpool · 2′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedWilfried Singo · Galatasaray · 82′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedRyan Gravenberch · Liverpool · 73′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedFlorian Wirtz · Liverpool · 16′ · 0.13 xG · on targetDavinson Sánchez · Galatasaray · 24′ · 0.14 xG · on targetFlorian Wirtz · Liverpool · 41′ · 0.15 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 12′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 29′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedHugo Ekitiké · Liverpool · 66′ · 0.40 xG · on targetMario Lemina · Galatasaray · 7′ · 0.48 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Galatasaray: 15 shots, 4 on target, 1.45 xG. Liverpool: 15 shots, 6 on target, 1.29 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Mario Lemina · Galatasaray · 7′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Galatasaray 1.45 xG · Liverpool 1.29 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Liverpool have a visible away split

moderate

Liverpool's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

14.4 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season19.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match19.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Liverpool show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Liverpool's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

13.8 shots/matchShotsGalatasaray · Liverpool19.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGalatasarayLiverpoolBaseline
Shots13.8 shots/match19.3 shots/match13.7 shots/match
Shots against13.9 shots/match9.33 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

1Galatasaray
0Draws
0Liverpool
GalatasarayLiverpool · UEFA Champions League10

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Galatasaray favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Liverpool in 11 · 3 too close

1.36 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 11/92.22 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 11/91 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 11/92.51 xG/match
1.9 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 11/90.87 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 11/919.3 shots/match
13.9 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 11/99.33 shots/match
5.36 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 11/97.67 shots/match
4.64 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 11/93.11 shots/match
51.4%Possessionseason · 11/954.7%
4.18 corners/matchCornersseason · 11/97.11 corners/match
5.36 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 11/94.22 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 11/911.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
27%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 11/944%
64%Scoring frequencyseason · 11/978%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Galatasaray58.3
Liverpool79.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Galatasaray52.3
Liverpool89
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Galatasaray48
Liverpool90.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Galatasaray51.2
Liverpool94
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Galatasaray53.6
Liverpool56
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Galatasaray34.5
Liverpool98.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Galatasaray50.9
Liverpool84.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.2 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.43 xG/matchExpected goals5/52.46 xG/match
12.8 shots/matchShots5/520.6 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target5/57.2 shots/match
51.2%Possession5/553%
4.8 corners/matchCorners5/57.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.8 fouls/matchFouls5/512.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 9 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored10/92.22 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/91 goals/match
1.75 xG/matchExpected goals10/92.51 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots10/919.3 shots/match
5.4 shots/matchShots on target10/97.67 shots/match
50.3%Possession10/954.7%
4.3 corners/matchCorners10/97.11 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.5 fouls/matchFouls10/911.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

11 / 9 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored11/92.22 goals/match
1.45 goals/matchGoals allowed11/91 goals/match
1.69 xG/matchExpected goals11/92.51 xG/match
13.8 shots/matchShots11/919.3 shots/match
5.36 shots/matchShots on target11/97.67 shots/match
51.4%Possession11/954.7%
4.18 corners/matchCorners11/97.11 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.6 fouls/matchFouls11/911.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches
1.83 goals/matchGoals scored6/51.8 goals/match
0.83 goals/matchGoals allowed6/50.6 goals/match
1.91 xG/matchExpected goals6/51.86 xG/match
15.2 shots/matchShots6/514.4 shots/match
5.5 shots/matchShots on target6/56.4 shots/match
48.3%Possession6/555.6%
5 corners/matchCorners6/55.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
10.2 fouls/matchFouls6/512 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

12.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/140.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples11 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Tue, 10 Mar 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

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