Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 17:00 UTCFull timeTüpraş StadyumFull-time recap
01Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBeşiktaşGalatasaray
Shots24 shots/match12 shots/match
Shots on target7 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals1.47 xG/match1.57 xG/match
Possession60%40%
Corners8 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls10 fouls/match15 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Leroy Sané · Galatasaray · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 21′ · 0.02 xG · on targetHyeon-gyu Oh · Beşiktaş · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBarış Alper Yılmaz · Galatasaray · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedWilfred Ndidi · Beşiktaş · 49′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsmail Jakobs · Galatasaray · 51′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 55′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 78′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Agbadou · Beşiktaş · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 48′ · 0.03 xG · on targetFelix Uduokhai · Beşiktaş · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJunior Olaitan · Beşiktaş · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMario Lemina · Galatasaray · 68′ · 0.03 xG · on targetOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 71′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIsmail Jakobs · Galatasaray · 77′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Beşiktaş · 49′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJunior Olaitan · Beşiktaş · 89′ · 0.04 xG · on targetHyeon-gyu Oh · Beşiktaş · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 69′ · 0.05 xG · on targetWilfred Ndidi · Beşiktaş · 90′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAmir Murillo · Beşiktaş · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 68′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 90′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedBarış Alper Yılmaz · Galatasaray · 26′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedVáclav Černý · Beşiktaş · 70′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEmmanuel Agbadou · Beşiktaş · 73′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedHyeon-gyu Oh · Beşiktaş · 90′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedOrkun Kökçü · Beşiktaş · 87′ · 0.11 xG · on targetHyeon-gyu Oh · Beşiktaş · 52′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJunior Olaitan · Beşiktaş · 78′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedWilfred Ndidi · Beşiktaş · 86′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedKristjan Asllani · Beşiktaş · 15′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedBarış Alper Yılmaz · Galatasaray · 77′ · 0.51 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 39′ · 0.52 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Beşiktaş: 24 shots, 7 on target, 1.48 xG. Galatasaray: 12 shots, 4 on target, 1.54 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Victor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 39′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Beşiktaş 1.48 xG · Galatasaray 1.54 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Galatasaray's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. A second useful context is: Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Galatasaray have a visible away split

moderate

Galatasaray's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

13.1 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots13.1 shots/match16.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.44 corners/matchCornersBeşiktaş · Galatasaray5.32 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricBeşiktaşGalatasarayBaseline
Corners5.44 corners/match5.32 corners/match4.65 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

Galatasaray show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/matchShotsBeşiktaş · Galatasaray16.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBeşiktaşGalatasarayBaseline
Shots16.4 shots/match16.8 shots/match12.6 shots/match
Shots against12.1 shots/match10.3 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams — history, not a forecast.

0Beşiktaş
1Draws
0Galatasaray
GalatasarayBeşiktaş · Süper Lig11

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Beşiktaş favored in 1 of 14 directional metrics · Galatasaray in 6 · 7 too close

1.8 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 25/252.36 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 25/250.72 goals/match
1.93 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 25/252.04 xG/match
1.02 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 25/250.99 xG/match
16.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 25/2516.8 shots/match
12.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 25/2510.3 shots/match
6.24 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 25/255.88 shots/match
3.56 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 25/253.4 shots/match
54.4%Possessionseason · 25/2561.5%
5.44 corners/matchCornersseason · 25/255.32 corners/match
4.48 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 25/253.64 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 25/2512.5 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
28%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 25/2540%
88%Scoring frequencyseason · 25/2588%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Beşiktaş75
Galatasaray97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Beşiktaş86.1
Galatasaray91.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Beşiktaş65.7
Galatasaray90.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Beşiktaş91.7
Galatasaray75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Beşiktaş52.8
Galatasaray36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Beşiktaş86.1
Galatasaray80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Beşiktaş79.2
Galatasaray73.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/52.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.8 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.78 xG/match
16 shots/matchShots5/514.4 shots/match
5.6 shots/matchShots on target5/55.2 shots/match
56.4%Possession5/556.6%
5.4 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.6 fouls/matchFouls5/513.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.9 goals/matchGoals scored10/102.7 goals/match
1.1 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.7 goals/match
1.76 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.93 xG/match
17.5 shots/matchShots10/1016.3 shots/match
6.6 shots/matchShots on target10/105.5 shots/match
55.7%Possession10/1061.7%
5.4 corners/matchCorners10/106.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/1013.5 fouls/match

Window

Season

25 / 25 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored25/252.36 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed25/250.72 goals/match
1.93 xG/matchExpected goals25/252.04 xG/match
16.4 shots/matchShots25/2516.8 shots/match
6.24 shots/matchShots on target25/255.88 shots/match
54.4%Possession25/2561.5%
5.44 corners/matchCorners25/255.32 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.4 fouls/matchFouls25/2512.5 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

13 / 12 matches
1.77 goals/matchGoals scored13/122 goals/match
1.15 goals/matchGoals allowed13/120.58 goals/match
1.96 xG/matchExpected goals13/121.74 xG/match
18.5 shots/matchShots13/1213.1 shots/match
6.85 shots/matchShots on target13/124.67 shots/match
57.2%Possession13/1258.1%
6.46 corners/matchCorners13/123.92 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.3 fouls/matchFouls13/1212.9 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.17 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
2 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 7 Mar 2026, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Make a graphic from this match

Creator Studio builds a branded post from this match's recorded data, with its evidence grade and source cutoff carried into the export.

Create a graphic from this match