PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Mac3Park Stadion

PEC Zwolle 0–4 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

0–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 0–4.

Shots
419
Shots on target
09
Expected goals
0.121.86
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat PEC Zwolle 4–0. Recorded in this match (PEC Zwolle – PSV Eindhoven): shots 4–19, shots on target 0–9, expected goals 0.12–1.86, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

8.25 shots/match ▲ShotsPEC Zwolle · PSV Eindhoven19.3 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPEC ZwollePSV EindhovenBaseline
Shots8.25 shots/match19.3 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against16.9 shots/match13.6 shots/match13.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

PEC Zwolle have a visible home split

weak

PEC Zwolle's home-only shot average is below their full-season average.

6.5 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season8.25 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots6.5 shots/match8.25 shots/match14.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

PSV Eindhoven have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.8%PossessionPEC Zwolle · PSV Eindhoven● 61.5%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.8 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPEC ZwollePSV EindhovenBaseline
Possession41.8%61.5%50.4%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots4 shots19 shotsPEC Zwolle 4 shots, PSV Eindhoven 19 shots
  • Shots on target0 shots9 shotsPEC Zwolle 0 shots, PSV Eindhoven 9 shots
  • Expected goals0.12 xG1.86 xGPEC Zwolle 0.12 xG, PSV Eindhoven 1.86 xG
  • Possession28%72%PEC Zwolle 28%, PSV Eindhoven 72%
  • Corners4 corners8 cornersPEC Zwolle 4 corners, PSV Eindhoven 8 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls8 foulsPEC Zwolle 7 fouls, PSV Eindhoven 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Jamiro Monteiro · PEC Zwolle · 20′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAnass Salah-Eddine · PSV Eindhoven · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 28′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 36′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 49′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedArmando Obispo · PSV Eindhoven · 85′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKaj de Rooij · PEC Zwolle · 15′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJamiro Monteiro · PEC Zwolle · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 33′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 57′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 87′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedSergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 53′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedJerdy Schouten · PSV Eindhoven · 11′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedRyan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 90′ · 0.10 xG · goalCouhaib Driouech · PSV Eindhoven · 29′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 67′ · 0.15 xG · goalIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 35′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 40′ · 0.20 xG · goalIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 71′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 23′ · 0.27 xG · goalIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 66′ · 0.40 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PEC Zwolle: 4 shots, 0 on target, 0.14 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 18 shots, 8 on target, 2.15 xG. · 1 unplaced

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Ismael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 23′Dennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 40′Joey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 67′Ryan Flamingo · PSV Eindhoven · 90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PEC Zwolle 0.14 xG · PSV Eindhoven 2.15 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1PEC Zwolle
0Draws
4PSV Eindhoven
PEC Zwolle — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie3–1
PSV Eindhoven — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie6–0
PEC Zwolle — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–7
PSV Eindhoven — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie4–0
PEC Zwolle — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PEC Zwolle favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PEC Zwolle8 matchesPSV Eindhoven8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 3.13 goals/match
1.88 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.38 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 2.05 xG/match
8.25 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 19.3 shots/match
2.13 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 8 shots/match
41.8%Possession8/8● 61.5%
2.38 corners/matchCorners8/8● 6.63 corners/match
10 fouls/matchFouls8/811.1 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 4 Oct 2025, 22:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPEC ZwollePSV Eindhoven
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headPEC Zwolle — PSV Eindhoven
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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