Eredivisie · 2025AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar 1–5 PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie

1–5Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PSV Eindhoven won 1–5.

Shots
815
Shots on target
36
Expected goals
0.282.33
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

PSV Eindhoven beat AZ Alkmaar 5–1. Recorded in this match (AZ Alkmaar – PSV Eindhoven): shots 8–15, shots on target 3–6, expected goals 0.28–2.33, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Both teams have elevated corners records

moderate

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

6.17 corners/matchCornersAZ Alkmaar · PSV Eindhoven● 6.42 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricAZ AlkmaarPSV EindhovenBaseline
Corners6.17 corners/match6.42 corners/match5.04 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

PSV Eindhoven show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

PSV Eindhoven's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAZ Alkmaar · PSV Eindhoven18.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAZ AlkmaarPSV EindhovenBaseline
Shots17.4 shots/match18.8 shots/match13.9 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match11.9 shots/match13.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots15 shotsAZ Alkmaar 8 shots, PSV Eindhoven 15 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots6 shotsAZ Alkmaar 3 shots, PSV Eindhoven 6 shots
  • Expected goals0.28 xG2.33 xGAZ Alkmaar 0.28 xG, PSV Eindhoven 2.33 xG
  • Possession47%53%AZ Alkmaar 47%, PSV Eindhoven 53%
  • Corners4 corners6 cornersAZ Alkmaar 4 corners, PSV Eindhoven 6 corners
  • Fouls9 fouls10 foulsAZ Alkmaar 9 fouls, PSV Eindhoven 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Guus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedElijah Dijkstra · AZ Alkmaar · 78′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 64′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatěj Šín · AZ Alkmaar · 79′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 34′ · 0.03 xG · goalJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 41′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedIsak Steiner Jensen · AZ Alkmaar · 48′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 66′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedIsmael Saibari · PSV Eindhoven · 8′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSergiño Dest · PSV Eindhoven · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 74′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJoey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 62′ · 0.09 xG · goalRicardo Pepi · PSV Eindhoven · 82′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedWeslley Patati · AZ Alkmaar · 39′ · 0.11 xG · on targetArmando Obispo · PSV Eindhoven · 88′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 28′ · 0.16 xG · goalArmando Obispo · PSV Eindhoven · 86′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 89′ · 0.23 xG · goalDennis Man · PSV Eindhoven · 18′ · 0.28 xG · on targetGuus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 11′ · 0.44 xG · goalMauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 5′ · 0.57 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AZ Alkmaar: 8 shots, 3 on target, 0.30 xG. PSV Eindhoven: 15 shots, 6 on target, 2.37 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Sven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 34′Mauro Júnior · PSV Eindhoven · 5′Guus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 11′Guus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 28′Joey Veerman · PSV Eindhoven · 62′Guus Til · PSV Eindhoven · 89′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AZ Alkmaar 0.30 xG · PSV Eindhoven 2.37 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0AZ Alkmaar
1Draws
4PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie2–2
AZ Alkmaar — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–2
PSV Eindhoven — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie5–1
AZ Alkmaar — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie0–4
AZ Alkmaar — PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie1–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AZ Alkmaar favored in 2 of 11 directional metrics · PSV Eindhoven in 7 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AZ Alkmaar12 matchesPSV Eindhoven12 matches
2.08 goals/matchGoals scored12/12▲ 3.33 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed12/12▲ 1.42 goals/match
2.04 xG/matchExpected goals12/122.11 xG/match
17.4 shots/matchShots12/12▲ 18.8 shots/match
6.42 shots/matchShots on target12/12▲ 7.5 shots/match
54.5%Possession12/12● 59.8%
6.17 corners/matchCorners12/12● 6.42 corners/match
11.1 fouls/matchFouls12/1210.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples12 / 12home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 9 Nov 2025, 19:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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