PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Mac3Park Stadion

PEC Zwolle 2–1 SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PEC Zwolle won 2–1.

Shots
1119
Shots on target
47
Expected goals
1.561.76
Possession
43%57%

Full time

What the match recorded

PEC Zwolle beat SC Heerenveen 2–1. Recorded in this match (PEC Zwolle – SC Heerenveen): shots 11–19, shots on target 4–7, expected goals 1.56–1.76, possession 43%–57%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PEC Zwolle's recent record differs from the season

moderate

PEC Zwolle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.62 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

PEC Zwolle show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

PEC Zwolle's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

8.64 shots/match ▲ShotsPEC Zwolle · SC Heerenveen16.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPEC ZwolleSC HeerenveenBaseline
Shots8.64 shots/match16.1 shots/match14.3 shots/match
Shots against18.6 shots/match10.3 shots/match13.5 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

SC Heerenveen have recorded the higher season possession share.

41.4%PossessionPEC Zwolle · SC Heerenveen● 52.6%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 11.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPEC ZwolleSC HeerenveenBaseline
Possession41.4%52.6%50%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots11 shots19 shotsPEC Zwolle 11 shots, SC Heerenveen 19 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots7 shotsPEC Zwolle 4 shots, SC Heerenveen 7 shots
  • Expected goals1.56 xG1.76 xGPEC Zwolle 1.56 xG, SC Heerenveen 1.76 xG
  • Possession43%57%PEC Zwolle 43%, SC Heerenveen 57%
  • Corners3 corners9 cornersPEC Zwolle 3 corners, SC Heerenveen 9 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls19 foulsPEC Zwolle 11 fouls, SC Heerenveen 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Vasilios Zagaritis · SC Heerenveen · 8′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJamiro Monteiro · PEC Zwolle · 61′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedOliver Braude · SC Heerenveen · 68′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 5′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 48′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKaj de Rooij · PEC Zwolle · 78′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEser Gürbüz · SC Heerenveen · 85′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 17′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 31′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 52′ · 0.04 xG · on targetEser Gürbüz · SC Heerenveen · 86′ · 0.04 xG · on targetDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 50′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedZico Buurmeester · PEC Zwolle · 71′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarcus Linday · SC Heerenveen · 80′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMaxence Rivera · SC Heerenveen · 3′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedEser Gürbüz · SC Heerenveen · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 2′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 9′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedJamiro Monteiro · PEC Zwolle · 45′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedKaj de Rooij · PEC Zwolle · 24′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 62′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJacob Trenskow · SC Heerenveen · 56′ · 0.11 xG · on targetLuuk Brouwers · SC Heerenveen · 74′ · 0.17 xG · on targetThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 28′ · 0.25 xG · goalRingo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 36′ · 0.27 xG · goalDylan Vente · SC Heerenveen · 62′ · 0.58 xG · on targetKaj de Rooij · PEC Zwolle · 40′ · 0.62 xG · on targetShola Shoretire · PEC Zwolle · 40′ · 0.95 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PEC Zwolle: 11 shots, 4 on target, 2.16 xG. SC Heerenveen: 19 shots, 7 on target, 1.79 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Thijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 28′Shola Shoretire · PEC Zwolle · 40′Ringo Meerveld · SC Heerenveen · 36′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PEC Zwolle 2.16 xG · SC Heerenveen 1.79 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1PEC Zwolle
3Draws
1SC Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie1–1
SC Heerenveen — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie1–1
SC Heerenveen — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie2–0
PEC Zwolle — SC Heerenveen · Eredivisie2–2
SC Heerenveen — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie0–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PEC Zwolle favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · SC Heerenveen in 10

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PEC Zwolle14 matchesSC Heerenveen14 matches
1.29 goals/matchGoals scored14/14▲ 1.64 goals/match
2.14 goals/matchGoals allowed14/14▲ 1.71 goals/match
1.07 xG/matchExpected goals14/14▲ 1.96 xG/match
8.64 shots/matchShots14/14▲ 16.1 shots/match
2.86 shots/matchShots on target14/14▲ 5.57 shots/match
41.4%Possession14/14● 52.6%
2.29 corners/matchCorners14/14● 6.21 corners/match
10.4 fouls/matchFouls14/1411.4 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples14 / 14home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 28 Nov 2025, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPEC ZwolleSC Heerenveen
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headPEC Zwolle — SC Heerenveen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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