PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025AFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar 2–2 Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AZ Alkmaar and Go Ahead Eagles drew 2–2.

Shots
2311
Shots on target
77
Expected goals
2.111.33
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

AZ Alkmaar and Go Ahead Eagles drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (AZ Alkmaar – Go Ahead Eagles): shots 23–11, shots on target 7–7, expected goals 2.11–1.33, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

AZ Alkmaar's recent record differs from the season

moderate

AZ Alkmaar's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.87 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match1.87 goals/match1.53 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AZ Alkmaar show a distinct attacking-volume record

strong

AZ Alkmaar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.5 shots/match ▲ShotsAZ Alkmaar · Go Ahead Eagles11 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricAZ AlkmaarGo Ahead EaglesBaseline
Shots16.5 shots/match11 shots/match14.1 shots/match
Shots against12.8 shots/match18.7 shots/match13.4 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots23 shots11 shotsAZ Alkmaar 23 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 11 shots
  • Shots on target7 shots7 shotsAZ Alkmaar 7 shots, Go Ahead Eagles 7 shots
  • Expected goals2.11 xG1.33 xGAZ Alkmaar 2.11 xG, Go Ahead Eagles 1.33 xG
  • Possession49%51%AZ Alkmaar 49%, Go Ahead Eagles 51%
  • Corners11 corners4 cornersAZ Alkmaar 11 corners, Go Ahead Eagles 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls8 foulsAZ Alkmaar 8 fouls, Go Ahead Eagles 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Weslley Patati · AZ Alkmaar · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 80′ · 0.02 xG · goalSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 82′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 29′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJoris Kramer · Go Ahead Eagles · 44′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMilan Smit · Go Ahead Eagles · 79′ · 0.03 xG · on targetIbrahim Sadiq · AZ Alkmaar · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedWeslley Patati · AZ Alkmaar · 9′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Chávez · AZ Alkmaar · 56′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Chávez · AZ Alkmaar · 70′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateo Chávez · AZ Alkmaar · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedVictor Edvardsen · Go Ahead Eagles · 28′ · 0.05 xG · on targetThibo Baeten · Go Ahead Eagles · 74′ · 0.05 xG · on targetMateo Chávez · AZ Alkmaar · 84′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedWeslley Patati · AZ Alkmaar · 3′ · 0.07 xG · on targetTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 8′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKees Smit · AZ Alkmaar · 29′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 37′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 89′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 52′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMats Deijl · AZ Alkmaar · 40′ · 0.10 xG · goalMateo Chávez · AZ Alkmaar · 54′ · 0.11 xG · on targetSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 46′ · 0.13 xG · on targetMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 10′ · 0.15 xG · on targetTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 79′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedMees De Wit · AZ Alkmaar · 17′ · 0.18 xG · on targetGiovanni van Zwam · Go Ahead Eagles · 75′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedEvert Linthorst · Go Ahead Eagles · 81′ · 0.19 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 13′ · 0.22 xG · on targetSven Mijnans · AZ Alkmaar · 89′ · 0.24 xG · off target or blockedTroy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 31′ · 0.25 xG · goalMats Deijl · Go Ahead Eagles · 39′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedMelle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 10′ · 0.42 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

AZ Alkmaar: 24 shots, 8 on target, 2.19 xG. Go Ahead Eagles: 11 shots, 7 on target, 1.42 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Troy Parrott · AZ Alkmaar · 31′Mats Deijl · AZ Alkmaar · 40′Melle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 10′Melle Meulensteen · Go Ahead Eagles · 80′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AZ Alkmaar 2.19 xG · Go Ahead Eagles 1.42 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4AZ Alkmaar
1Draws
0Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie0–3
AZ Alkmaar — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie2–2
Go Ahead Eagles — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie0–3
AZ Alkmaar — Go Ahead Eagles · Eredivisie5–1
Go Ahead Eagles — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie1–4

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AZ Alkmaar favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Go Ahead Eagles in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AZ Alkmaar15 matchesGo Ahead Eagles15 matches
1.87 goals/match ▲Goals scored15/151.67 goals/match
1.6 goals/match ▲Goals allowed15/151.73 goals/match
1.93 xG/match ▲Expected goals15/151.26 xG/match
16.5 shots/match ▲Shots15/1511 shots/match
6 shots/match ▲Shots on target15/155.07 shots/match
53.6% ●Possession15/1552.2%
6.2 corners/match ●Corners15/155.33 corners/match
10.3 fouls/matchFouls15/159.33 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples15 / 15home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 7 Dec 2025, 17:30 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsAZ AlkmaarGo Ahead Eagles
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headAZ Alkmaar — Go Ahead Eagles
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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