AZ Alkmaar 1–1 Excelsior — Eredivisie 2025/26 Match Stats

Eredivisie · 2025Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 17:45 UTCAFAS Stadion

AZ Alkmaar

LDLWL

1–1Historical match

Excelsior

WLWLD

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

AZ Alkmaar and Excelsior drew 1–1.

Shots: 138
Shots on target: 42
Expected goals: 1.851.12
Possession: 60%40%

Full time

What the match recorded

AZ Alkmaar and Excelsior drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (AZ Alkmaar – Excelsior): shots 13–8, shots on target 4–2, expected goals 1.85–1.12, possession 60%–40%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for AZ Alkmaar, Excelsior.

4 days ▲Rest daysAZ Alkmaar · Excelsior3.95 days

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

Metric	AZ Alkmaar	Excelsior	Baseline
Rest days	4 days	3.95 days	—
Matches last 14 days	2 matches	2 matches	—

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

AZ Alkmaar show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AZ Alkmaar's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.4 shots/match ▲ShotsAZ Alkmaar · Excelsior11.8 shots/match

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

Metric	AZ Alkmaar	Excelsior	Baseline
Shots	16.4 shots/match	11.8 shots/match	14.2 shots/match
Shots against	12.3 shots/match	16.3 shots/match	13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

AZ Alkmaar have recorded the higher season possession share.

54.3% ●PossessionAZ Alkmaar · Excelsior45.4%

Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 8.9 percentage points.

Window: season

Metric	AZ Alkmaar	Excelsior	Baseline
Possession	54.3%	45.4%	50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

Shots13 shots8 shotsAZ Alkmaar 13 shots, Excelsior 8 shots
Shots on target4 shots2 shotsAZ Alkmaar 4 shots, Excelsior 2 shots
Expected goals1.85 xG1.12 xGAZ Alkmaar 1.85 xG, Excelsior 1.12 xG
Possession60%40%AZ Alkmaar 60%, Excelsior 40%
Corners4 corners5 cornersAZ Alkmaar 4 corners, Excelsior 5 corners
Fouls8 fouls10 foulsAZ Alkmaar 8 fouls, Excelsior 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

off target
on target
goal
penalty
size = xG

AZ Alkmaar: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.98 xG. Excelsior: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.10 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: AZ Alkmaar 1.98 xG · Excelsior 1.10 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

2AZ Alkmaar

1Draws

1Excelsior

10 Mar 2024AZ Alkmaar — Excelsior · Eredivisie4–0

4 Nov 2023Excelsior — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie1–1

10 Feb 2023AZ Alkmaar — Excelsior · Eredivisie5–0

23 Oct 2022Excelsior — AZ Alkmaar · Eredivisie2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: AZ Alkmaar favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Excelsior in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

AZ Alkmaar19 matchesExcelsior19 matches

1.79 goals/match ▲Goals scored19/191.05 goals/match

1.68 goals/match ▲Goals allowed19/191.84 goals/match

1.98 xG/match ▲Expected goals19/191.29 xG/match

16.4 shots/match ▲Shots19/1911.8 shots/match

6.05 shots/match ▲Shots on target19/194.05 shots/match

54.3% ●Possession19/1945.4%

6.26 corners/match ●Corners19/194.05 corners/match

10.4 fouls/matchFouls19/1913.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited

Season samples19 / 19home / away teams

Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows

FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match

The fixture is outside the configured active season.
Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.

Analysis cutoff: Wed, 21 Jan 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match ranking xG per match ranking Shots per match ranking

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Match at a glance