Eredivisie · 2025Rat Verlegh Stadion

NAC Breda 2–2 FC Twente · Eredivisie

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

NAC Breda and FC Twente drew 2–2.

Shots
2018
Shots on target
109
Expected goals
1.261.63
Possession
63%37%

Full time

What the match recorded

NAC Breda and FC Twente drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (NAC Breda – FC Twente): shots 20–18, shots on target 10–9, expected goals 1.26–1.63, possession 63%–37%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

NAC Breda's recent record differs from the season

moderate

NAC Breda's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1.1 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

NAC Breda show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

NAC Breda's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

13.4 shots/match ▲ShotsNAC Breda · FC Twente18.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricNAC BredaFC TwenteBaseline
Shots13.4 shots/match18.5 shots/match14.4 shots/match
Shots against13.1 shots/match10.1 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots20 shots18 shotsNAC Breda 20 shots, FC Twente 18 shots
  • Shots on target10 shots9 shotsNAC Breda 10 shots, FC Twente 9 shots
  • Expected goals1.26 xG1.63 xGNAC Breda 1.26 xG, FC Twente 1.63 xG
  • Possession63%37%NAC Breda 63%, FC Twente 37%
  • Corners7 corners4 cornersNAC Breda 7 corners, FC Twente 4 corners
  • Fouls7 fouls10 foulsNAC Breda 7 fouls, FC Twente 10 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Charles-Andreas Brym · NAC Breda · 29′ · 0.01 xG · on targetLewis Holtby · NAC Breda · 16′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedRio Hillen · NAC Breda · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Soumano · NAC Breda · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeo Greiml · NAC Breda · 54′ · 0.02 xG · on targetJuho Talvitie · NAC Breda · 73′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKamal Sowah · NAC Breda · 74′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMoussa Soumano · NAC Breda · 87′ · 0.02 xG · goalMoussa Soumano · NAC Breda · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJuho Talvitie · NAC Breda · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLeo Greiml · NAC Breda · 38′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMoussa Soumano · NAC Breda · 60′ · 0.03 xG · on targetSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 60′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 45′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedCharles-Andreas Brym · NAC Breda · 87′ · 0.04 xG · on targetThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 35′ · 0.05 xG · on targetKamal Sowah · NAC Breda · 67′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMats Rots · FC Twente · 42′ · 0.06 xG · goalThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 55′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDaan Rots · FC Twente · 40′ · 0.07 xG · on targetKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 76′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMats Rots · FC Twente · 64′ · 0.08 xG · on targetRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 20′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedMats Rots · FC Twente · 12′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedMats Rots · FC Twente · 46′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedCherrion Valerius · NAC Breda · 58′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedBoyd Lucassen · NAC Breda · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedThomas Van den Belt · FC Twente · 6′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 7′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMarko Pjaca · FC Twente · 72′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedCharles-Andreas Brym · NAC Breda · 81′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDaan Rots · FC Twente · 2′ · 0.13 xG · on targetRicky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 51′ · 0.16 xG · goalMoussa Soumano · NAC Breda · 67′ · 0.18 xG · on targetKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 76′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedCharles-Andreas Brym · NAC Breda · 61′ · 0.21 xG · goalJayden Candelaria · NAC Breda · 82′ · 0.22 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

NAC Breda: 20 shots, 10 on target, 1.29 xG. FC Twente: 18 shots, 9 on target, 1.62 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Charles-Andreas Brym · NAC Breda · 61′Moussa Soumano · NAC Breda · 87′Mats Rots · FC Twente · 42′Ricky van Wolfswinkel · FC Twente · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: NAC Breda 1.29 xG · FC Twente 1.62 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1NAC Breda
1Draws
1FC Twente
FC Twente — NAC Breda · Eredivisie2–2
NAC Breda — FC Twente · Eredivisie2–1
FC Twente — NAC Breda · Eredivisie1–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: NAC Breda favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · FC Twente in 10 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

NAC Breda21 matchesFC Twente21 matches
1.1 goals/matchGoals scored21/21▲ 1.48 goals/match
1.62 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.14 goals/match
1.23 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.96 xG/match
13.4 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 18.5 shots/match
4.14 shots/matchShots on target21/20▲ 6.1 shots/match
48.8%Possession21/21● 55%
5.24 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.38 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls21/1911.5 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 30 Jan 2026, 23:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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