Eredivisie · 2025Mac3Park Stadion

PEC Zwolle 4–1 SC Telstar · Eredivisie

4–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PEC Zwolle won 4–1.

Shots
1614
Shots on target
98
Expected goals
2.851.75
Possession
57%43%

Full time

What the match recorded

PEC Zwolle beat SC Telstar 4–1. Recorded in this match (PEC Zwolle – SC Telstar): shots 16–14, shots on target 9–8, expected goals 2.85–1.75, possession 57%–43%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PEC Zwolle's recent record differs from the season

moderate

PEC Zwolle's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.43 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.43 goals/match1.49 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots16 shots14 shotsPEC Zwolle 16 shots, SC Telstar 14 shots
  • Shots on target9 shots8 shotsPEC Zwolle 9 shots, SC Telstar 8 shots
  • Expected goals2.85 xG1.75 xGPEC Zwolle 2.85 xG, SC Telstar 1.75 xG
  • Possession57%43%PEC Zwolle 57%, SC Telstar 43%
  • Corners6 corners9 cornersPEC Zwolle 6 corners, SC Telstar 9 corners
  • Fouls11 fouls16 foulsPEC Zwolle 11 fouls, SC Telstar 16 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Anselmo Garcia McNulty · PEC Zwolle · 16′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedYounes Namli · PEC Zwolle · 4′ · 0.03 xG · on targetKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 34′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 45′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 48′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 27′ · 0.05 xG · on targetYounes Namli · PEC Zwolle · 28′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedNeville Nwankwo · SC Telstar · 47′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 2′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYounes Namli · PEC Zwolle · 43′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedTyrese Noslin · SC Telstar · 19′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 13′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAnselmo Garcia McNulty · PEC Zwolle · 4′ · 0.09 xG · on targetThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 67′ · 0.10 xG · on targetNils Rossen · SC Telstar · 60′ · 0.11 xG · goalDanny Bakker · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedDylan Mertens · SC Telstar · 90′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAnselmo Garcia McNulty · PEC Zwolle · 35′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedJeff Hardeveld · SC Telstar · 58′ · 0.12 xG · on targetMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 19′ · 0.15 xG · off target or blockedJochem Ritmeester van de Kamp · SC Telstar · 7′ · 0.16 xG · on targetKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 83′ · 0.18 xG · goalKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 33′ · 0.20 xG · off target or blockedSoufiane Hetli · SC Telstar · 60′ · 0.20 xG · on targetShola Shoretire · PEC Zwolle · 45′ · 0.28 xG · goalShola Shoretire · PEC Zwolle · 67′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 59′ · 0.33 xG · on targetMilan Zonneveld · SC Telstar · 19′ · 0.35 xG · on targetKoen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 67′ · 0.46 xG · goalTristan Gooijer · PEC Zwolle · 70′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PEC Zwolle: 16 shots, 9 on target, 2.85 xG. SC Telstar: 14 shots, 8 on target, 1.88 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Shola Shoretire · PEC Zwolle · 45′Koen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 67′Tristan Gooijer · PEC Zwolle · 70′Koen Kostons · PEC Zwolle · 83′Nils Rossen · SC Telstar · 60′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PEC Zwolle 2.85 xG · SC Telstar 1.88 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1PEC Zwolle
0Draws
0SC Telstar
SC Telstar — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie0–2

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PEC Zwolle favored in 3 of 11 directional metrics · SC Telstar in 7 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PEC Zwolle21 matchesSC Telstar21 matches
1.43 goals/match ▲Goals scored21/211.19 goals/match
2.05 goals/matchGoals allowed21/21▲ 1.76 goals/match
1.16 xG/matchExpected goals21/21▲ 1.41 xG/match
8.9 shots/matchShots21/21▲ 12.9 shots/match
3.38 shots/matchShots on target21/21▲ 4.57 shots/match
43.1%Possession21/21● 43.2%
2.67 corners/matchCorners21/21● 5.38 corners/match
10.8 fouls/matchFouls21/2110.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples21 / 21home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 31 Jan 2026, 21:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

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