PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025De Grolsch Veste

FC Twente 2–1 FC Groningen · Eredivisie

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

FC Twente won 2–1.

Shots
611
Shots on target
43
Expected goals
0.780.92
Possession
49%51%

Full time

What the match recorded

FC Twente beat FC Groningen 2–1. Recorded in this match (FC Twente – FC Groningen): shots 6–11, shots on target 4–3, expected goals 0.78–0.92, possession 49%–51%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

FC Groningen's recent record differs from the season

moderate

FC Groningen's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

0.8 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.29 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for0.8 goals/match1.29 goals/match1.5 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots6 shots11 shotsFC Twente 6 shots, FC Groningen 11 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots3 shotsFC Twente 4 shots, FC Groningen 3 shots
  • Expected goals0.78 xG0.92 xGFC Twente 0.78 xG, FC Groningen 0.92 xG
  • Possession49%51%FC Twente 49%, FC Groningen 51%
  • Corners4 corners4 cornersFC Twente 4 corners, FC Groningen 4 corners
  • Fouls8 fouls6 foulsFC Twente 8 fouls, FC Groningen 6 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

David van der Werff · FC Groningen · 31′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSondre Ørjasæter · FC Twente · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 50′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYounes Taha · FC Groningen · 59′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMats Rots · FC Twente · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedBart van Rooij · FC Twente · 41′ · 0.03 xG · on targetJorg Schreuders · FC Groningen · 63′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedStije Resink · FC Groningen · 11′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 85′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedDavid van der Werff · FC Groningen · 37′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDavid van der Werff · FC Groningen · 34′ · 0.16 xG · off target or blockedMats Rots · FC Twente · 84′ · 0.20 xG · on targetThom van Bergen · FC Groningen · 87′ · 0.20 xG · on targetDaan Rots · FC Twente · 39′ · 0.21 xG · goalMarvin Peersman · FC Groningen · 35′ · 0.23 xG · goalKristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 48′ · 0.29 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

FC Twente: 6 shots, 4 on target, 0.77 xG. FC Groningen: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.94 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.510′HT90′Daan Rots · FC Twente · 39′Kristian Hlynsson · FC Twente · 48′Marvin Peersman · FC Groningen · 35′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: FC Twente 0.77 xG · FC Groningen 0.94 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3FC Twente
2Draws
0FC Groningen
FC Groningen — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–1
FC Groningen — FC Twente · Eredivisie1–1
FC Twente — FC Groningen · Eredivisie2–0
FC Twente — FC Groningen · Eredivisie3–0
FC Twente — FC Groningen · Eredivisie3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: FC Twente favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · FC Groningen in 1

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

FC Twente24 matchesFC Groningen24 matches
1.63 goals/match ▲Goals scored24/241.29 goals/match
1.08 goals/match ▲Goals allowed24/241.33 goals/match
1.96 xG/match ▲Expected goals24/241.59 xG/match
18.5 shots/match ▲Shots24/2415.4 shots/match
6.39 shots/match ▲Shots on target23/245.67 shots/match
54.8% ●Possession24/2451.2%
5.42 corners/matchCorners24/24● 6.25 corners/match
11 fouls/matchFouls22/2410.8 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples24 / 24home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 22 Feb 2026, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFC TwenteFC Groningen
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headFC Twente — FC Groningen
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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