PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Mac3Park Stadion

PEC Zwolle 0–0 AFC Ajax · Eredivisie

0–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

PEC Zwolle and AFC Ajax drew 0–0.

Shots
86
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
1.090.33
Possession
40%60%

Full time

What the match recorded

PEC Zwolle and AFC Ajax drew 0–0. Recorded in this match (PEC Zwolle – AFC Ajax): shots 8–6, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 1.09–0.33, possession 40%–60%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

PEC Zwolle's recent record differs from the season

moderate

PEC Zwolle's last-five shots average is above their season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsLast 5 · Season9.2 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match9.2 shots/match14.2 shots/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

AFC Ajax show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

AFC Ajax's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

9.2 shots/match ▲ShotsPEC Zwolle · AFC Ajax14.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricPEC ZwolleAFC AjaxBaseline
Shots9.2 shots/match14.9 shots/match14.2 shots/match
Shots against17.2 shots/match13 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

AFC Ajax have recorded the higher season possession share.

44.2%PossessionPEC Zwolle · AFC Ajax● 57.1%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 12.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricPEC ZwolleAFC AjaxBaseline
Possession44.2%57.1%49.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots6 shotsPEC Zwolle 8 shots, AFC Ajax 6 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsPEC Zwolle 2 shots, AFC Ajax 2 shots
  • Expected goals1.09 xG0.33 xGPEC Zwolle 1.09 xG, AFC Ajax 0.33 xG
  • Possession40%60%PEC Zwolle 40%, AFC Ajax 60%
  • Corners12 corners3 cornersPEC Zwolle 12 corners, AFC Ajax 3 corners
  • Fouls12 fouls8 foulsPEC Zwolle 12 fouls, AFC Ajax 8 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Mika Godts · AFC Ajax · 76′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSimon Graves Jensen · PEC Zwolle · 13′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedZico Buurmeester · PEC Zwolle · 26′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKian Fitz-Jim · AFC Ajax · 62′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedYounes Namli · PEC Zwolle · 21′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTristan Gooijer · PEC Zwolle · 70′ · 0.05 xG · on targetDavy Klaassen · AFC Ajax · 42′ · 0.06 xG · on targetYouri Regeer · AFC Ajax · 62′ · 0.06 xG · on targetWout Weghorst · AFC Ajax · 40′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedRayane Bounida · AFC Ajax · 49′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedAnselmo Garcia McNulty · PEC Zwolle · 22′ · 0.14 xG · off target or blockedThijs Oosting · PEC Zwolle · 54′ · 0.14 xG · on targetTristan Gooijer · PEC Zwolle · 18′ · 0.28 xG · off target or blockedSimon Graves Jensen · PEC Zwolle · 56′ · 0.40 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

PEC Zwolle: 8 shots, 2 on target, 1.10 xG. AFC Ajax: 6 shots, 2 on target, 0.31 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: PEC Zwolle 1.10 xG · AFC Ajax 0.31 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

0PEC Zwolle
1Draws
4AFC Ajax
AFC Ajax — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie3–1
PEC Zwolle — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie0–1
AFC Ajax — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie2–0
PEC Zwolle — AFC Ajax · Eredivisie1–3
AFC Ajax — PEC Zwolle · Eredivisie2–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: PEC Zwolle favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · AFC Ajax in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

PEC Zwolle25 matchesAFC Ajax25 matches
1.36 goals/matchGoals scored25/25▲ 1.88 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed25/25▲ 1.24 goals/match
1.13 xG/matchExpected goals25/25▲ 1.56 xG/match
9.2 shots/matchShots25/25▲ 14.9 shots/match
3.48 shots/matchShots on target25/25▲ 6.12 shots/match
44.2%Possession25/25● 57.1%
3.32 corners/matchCorners25/25● 5 corners/match
11.2 fouls/matchFouls25/2510.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples25 / 25home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 1 Mar 2026, 15:15 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsPEC ZwolleAFC Ajax
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headPEC Zwolle — AFC Ajax
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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