PitchMath
Eredivisie · 2025Stadion Woudestein

Excelsior 1–1 FC Volendam · Eredivisie

1–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Excelsior and FC Volendam drew 1–1.

Shots
88
Shots on target
22
Expected goals
0.380.46
Possession
67%33%

Full time

What the match recorded

Excelsior and FC Volendam drew 1–1. Recorded in this match (Excelsior – FC Volendam): shots 8–8, shots on target 2–2, expected goals 0.38–0.46, possession 67%–33%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Excelsior's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Excelsior's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.21 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.2 goals/match1.21 goals/match1.55 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

FC Volendam have a visible away split

moderate

FC Volendam's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

8.88 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season10.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots8.88 shots/match10.8 shots/match14.7 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots8 shots8 shotsExcelsior 8 shots, FC Volendam 8 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots2 shotsExcelsior 2 shots, FC Volendam 2 shots
  • Expected goals0.38 xG0.46 xGExcelsior 0.38 xG, FC Volendam 0.46 xG
  • Possession67%33%Excelsior 67%, FC Volendam 33%
  • Corners5 corners0 cornersExcelsior 5 corners, FC Volendam 0 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls7 foulsExcelsior 10 fouls, FC Volendam 7 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Gyan de Regt · Excelsior · 23′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedGibson Yah · FC Volendam · 45′ · 0.00 xG · on targetIrakli Yegoian · Excelsior · 49′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedJuninho Bacuna · FC Volendam · 59′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedGibson Yah · FC Volendam · 62′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedDerensili Sanches Fernandes · Excelsior · 63′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedGyan de Regt · Excelsior · 68′ · 0.00 xG · on targetBenjamin Pauwels · FC Volendam · 70′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedBrandley Kuwas · FC Volendam · 76′ · 0.00 xG · off target or blockedEmil Hansson · Excelsior · 9′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedNoah Naujoks · Excelsior · 24′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRick Meissen · Excelsior · 34′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMawouna Amevor · FC Volendam · 66′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAnthony Descotte · FC Volendam · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedCasper Widell · Excelsior · 9′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBenjamin Pauwels · FC Volendam · 2′ · 0.10 xG · goalGibson Yah · Excelsior · 38′ · 0.10 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Excelsior: 9 shots, 3 on target, 0.16 xG. FC Volendam: 8 shots, 2 on target, 0.13 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.250.50′HT90′Gibson Yah · Excelsior · 38′Benjamin Pauwels · FC Volendam · 2′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Excelsior 0.16 xG · FC Volendam 0.13 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Excelsior
0Draws
2FC Volendam
FC Volendam — Excelsior · Eredivisie1–2
Excelsior — FC Volendam · Eredivisie4–0
FC Volendam — Excelsior · Eredivisie3–1
FC Volendam — Excelsior · Eredivisie3–2
Excelsior — FC Volendam · Eredivisie2–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Excelsior favored in 9 of 11 directional metrics · FC Volendam in 0 · 2 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Excelsior33 matchesFC Volendam33 matches
1.21 goals/match ▲Goals scored33/331.03 goals/match
1.64 goals/matchGoals allowed33/331.61 goals/match
1.33 xG/match ▲Expected goals33/331.06 xG/match
12.4 shots/match ▲Shots33/3310.8 shots/match
4.3 shots/match ▲Shots on target33/333.67 shots/match
47.6% ●Possession33/3344.7%
4.15 corners/match ●Corners33/333.64 corners/match
12.2 fouls/matchFouls33/339.67 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples33 / 33home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 10 May 2026, 18:45 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Eredivisie

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsExcelsiorFC Volendam
CompetitionEredivisieEredivisie 2025/26
Head-to-headExcelsior — FC Volendam
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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