PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Vefa Stadium

Fatih Karagümrük 0–2 Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig

0–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Gaziantep FK won 0–2.

Shots
1317
Shots on target
48
Expected goals
1.622.86
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Gaziantep FK beat Fatih Karagümrük 2–0. Recorded in this match (Fatih Karagümrük – Gaziantep FK): shots 13–17, shots on target 4–8, expected goals 1.62–2.86, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Gaziantep FK's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gaziantep FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match1.5 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gaziantep FK have a visible away split

weak

Gaziantep FK's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.8 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.8 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Gaziantep FK show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Gaziantep FK's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.4 shots/match ▲ShotsFatih Karagümrük · Gaziantep FK15.1 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFatih KaragümrükGaziantep FKBaseline
Shots11.4 shots/match15.1 shots/match12.1 shots/match
Shots against14.8 shots/match13.6 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots17 shotsFatih Karagümrük 13 shots, Gaziantep FK 17 shots
  • Shots on target4 shots8 shotsFatih Karagümrük 4 shots, Gaziantep FK 8 shots
  • Expected goals1.62 xG2.86 xGFatih Karagümrük 1.62 xG, Gaziantep FK 2.86 xG
  • Possession44%56%Fatih Karagümrük 44%, Gaziantep FK 56%
  • Corners5 corners2 cornersFatih Karagümrük 5 corners, Gaziantep FK 2 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls15 foulsFatih Karagümrük 22 fouls, Gaziantep FK 15 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Kévin Rodrigues · Gaziantep FK · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Lungoyi · Gaziantep FK · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetBadou Ndiaye · Gaziantep FK · 89′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 12′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Lungoyi · Gaziantep FK · 15′ · 0.03 xG · on targetÇağtay Kurukalıp · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetAlexandru Maxim · Gaziantep FK · 10′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedBerkay Özcan · Fatih Karagümrük · 16′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 35′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTayyip Talha Sanuç · Gaziantep FK · 82′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJuninho Bacuna · Gaziantep FK · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Lungoyi · Gaziantep FK · 16′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedBerkay Özcan · Fatih Karagümrük · 23′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMarius Tresor Doh · Fatih Karagümrük · 46′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedJoão Camacho · Fatih Karagümrük · 48′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChristopher Lungoyi · Gaziantep FK · 76′ · 0.05 xG · on targetSam Larsson · Fatih Karagümrük · 59′ · 0.06 xG · on targetMarius Tresor Doh · Fatih Karagümrük · 65′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAtakan Çankaya · Fatih Karagümrük · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJuninho Bacuna · Gaziantep FK · 88′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedKacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep FK · 21′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedDrissa Camara · Gaziantep FK · 40′ · 0.08 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · Fatih Karagümrük · 57′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedJuninho Bacuna · Gaziantep FK · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetJure Balkovec · Fatih Karagümrük · 45′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJoão Camacho · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.25 xG · on targetMohamed Bayo · Gaziantep FK · 14′ · 0.37 xG · on targetAlexandru Maxim · Gaziantep FK · 55′ · 0.82 xG · goalDavid Datro Fofana · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blockedKacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep FK · 69′ · 0.92 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fatih Karagümrük: 13 shots, 4 on target, 1.67 xG. Gaziantep FK: 17 shots, 8 on target, 2.75 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Alexandru Maxim · Gaziantep FK · 55′Kacper Kozłowski · Gaziantep FK · 69′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fatih Karagümrük 1.67 xG · Gaziantep FK 2.75 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fatih Karagümrük
1Draws
3Gaziantep FK
Gaziantep FK — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig3–1
Fatih Karagümrük — Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig0–3
Fatih Karagümrük — Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig3–3
Gaziantep FK — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig3–1
Fatih Karagümrük — Gaziantep FK · Süper Lig3–2

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fatih Karagümrük favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Gaziantep FK in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fatih Karagümrük8 matchesGaziantep FK8 matches
0.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/8▲ 1.5 goals/match
2.25 goals/matchGoals allowed8/8▲ 1.5 goals/match
0.97 xG/matchExpected goals8/8▲ 1.45 xG/match
11.4 shots/matchShots8/8▲ 15.1 shots/match
3.13 shots/matchShots on target8/8▲ 4.38 shots/match
50.5%Possession8/8● 53.1%
3.88 corners/matchCorners8/8● 5.5 corners/match
13.8 fouls/matchFouls8/813.9 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 8home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFatih KaragümrükGaziantep FK
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headFatih Karagümrük — Gaziantep FK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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