PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Vefa Stadium

Fatih Karagümrük 3–4 Trabzonspor · Süper Lig

3–4Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Trabzonspor won 3–4.

Shots
1322
Shots on target
311
Expected goals
1.71.77
Possession
44%56%

Full time

What the match recorded

Trabzonspor beat Fatih Karagümrük 4–3. Recorded in this match (Fatih Karagümrük – Trabzonspor): shots 13–22, shots on target 3–11, expected goals 1.7–1.77, possession 44%–56%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fatih Karagümrük's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fatih Karagümrük's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goal/match1.15 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Trabzonspor have a visible away split

weak

Trabzonspor's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

11.3 shots/match ▲ShotsAway only · Season14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots11.3 shots/match14 shots/match11.6 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Trabzonspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Trabzonspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

11.1 shots/match ▲ShotsFatih Karagümrük · Trabzonspor14 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFatih KaragümrükTrabzonsporBaseline
Shots11.1 shots/match14 shots/match11.6 shots/match
Shots against14.4 shots/match12.3 shots/match13.3 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots13 shots22 shotsFatih Karagümrük 13 shots, Trabzonspor 22 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots11 shotsFatih Karagümrük 3 shots, Trabzonspor 11 shots
  • Expected goals1.7 xG1.77 xGFatih Karagümrük 1.7 xG, Trabzonspor 1.77 xG
  • Possession44%56%Fatih Karagümrük 44%, Trabzonspor 56%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersFatih Karagümrük 1 corner, Trabzonspor 7 corners
  • Fouls18 fouls13 foulsFatih Karagümrük 18 fouls, Trabzonspor 13 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Arif Boşluk · Trabzonspor · 18′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedStefan Savić · Trabzonspor · 40′ · 0.01 xG · on targetSam Larsson · Fatih Karagümrük · 56′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedWagner Pina · Trabzonspor · 70′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedMuhammed Kadıoğlu · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedSam Larsson · Fatih Karagümrük · 32′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAtakan Çankaya · Fatih Karagümrük · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Trabzonspor · 62′ · 0.02 xG · on targetArif Boşluk · Trabzonspor · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 71′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 43′ · 0.03 xG · on targetTim Jabol-Folcarelli · Trabzonspor · 81′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEdin Višća · Trabzonspor · 85′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSam Larsson · Fatih Karagümrük · 13′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Trabzonspor · 45′ · 0.04 xG · on targetErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 87′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedErnest Muçi · Trabzonspor · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedNikoloz Ugrekhelidze · Fatih Karagümrük · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 61′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedChrist Inao Oulaï · Trabzonspor · 14′ · 0.06 xG · on targetFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 20′ · 0.06 xG · goalSam Larsson · Fatih Karagümrük · 56′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 39′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 83′ · 0.07 xG · on targetPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 35′ · 0.12 xG · goalPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 65′ · 0.18 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.18 xG · goalSam Larsson · Fatih Karagümrük · 58′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · Fatih Karagümrük · 82′ · 0.25 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.26 xG · goalDanylo Sikan · Trabzonspor · 88′ · 0.28 xG · goalTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 28′ · 0.53 xG · goalPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 45′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fatih Karagümrük: 13 shots, 3 on target, 1.71 xG. Trabzonspor: 22 shots, 11 on target, 2.03 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Tiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 28′David Datro Fofana · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′David Datro Fofana · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′Felipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 20′Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 35′Paul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 45′Danylo Sikan · Trabzonspor · 88′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fatih Karagümrük 1.71 xG · Trabzonspor 2.03 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

1Fatih Karagümrük
2Draws
2Trabzonspor
Trabzonspor — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig5–1
Fatih Karagümrük — Trabzonspor · Süper Lig0–0
Trabzonspor — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig4–1
Fatih Karagümrük — Trabzonspor · Süper Lig4–1
Trabzonspor — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig1–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fatih Karagümrük favored in 0 of 11 directional metrics · Trabzonspor in 11

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fatih Karagümrük7 matchesTrabzonspor7 matches
1 goal/matchGoals scored7/7▲ 1.29 goals/match
2.29 goals/matchGoals allowed7/7▲ 0.86 goals/match
0.87 xG/matchExpected goals7/7▲ 1.15 xG/match
11.1 shots/matchShots7/7▲ 14 shots/match
3 shots/matchShots on target7/7▲ 4.14 shots/match
51.4% ●Possession7/749.9%
3.71 corners/match ●Corners7/73.57 corners/match
12.6 fouls/matchFouls7/712 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples7 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 27 Sept 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFatih KaragümrükTrabzonspor
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headFatih Karagümrük — Trabzonspor
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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