PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Gursel Aksel Stadium

Göztepe 1–0 Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig

1–0Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Göztepe won 1–0.

Shots
911
Shots on target
23
Expected goals
1.160.92
Possession
28%72%

Full time

What the match recorded

Göztepe beat Başakşehir FK 1–0. Recorded in this match (Göztepe – Başakşehir FK): shots 9–11, shots on target 2–3, expected goals 1.16–0.92, possession 28%–72%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

The teams have contrasting possession records

moderate

Başakşehir FK have recorded the higher season possession share.

37.5%PossessionGöztepe · Başakşehir FK● 57.4%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 19.9 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGöztepeBaşakşehir FKBaseline
Possession37.5%57.4%50.3%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Başakşehir FK's recent record differs from the season

weak

Başakşehir FK's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1 goal/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.86 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1 goal/match0.86 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Both teams have elevated corners records

weak

Each team's season corners average is above the competition baseline.

5.13 corners/matchCornersGöztepe · Başakşehir FK● 6 corners/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Both team averages are compared with the same competition baseline.

Window: season

MetricGöztepeBaşakşehir FKBaseline
Corners5.13 corners/match6 corners/match4.54 corners/match

Caveat: A shared historical pattern is descriptive and may not repeat in one fixture.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots9 shots11 shotsGöztepe 9 shots, Başakşehir FK 11 shots
  • Shots on target2 shots3 shotsGöztepe 2 shots, Başakşehir FK 3 shots
  • Expected goals1.16 xG0.92 xGGöztepe 1.16 xG, Başakşehir FK 0.92 xG
  • Possession28%72%Göztepe 28%, Başakşehir FK 72%
  • Corners6 corners5 cornersGöztepe 6 corners, Başakşehir FK 5 corners
  • Fouls22 fouls11 foulsGöztepe 22 fouls, Başakşehir FK 11 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Malcom Bokele · Göztepe · 23′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAmine Harit · Başakşehir FK · 60′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedDeniz Türüç · Başakşehir FK · 81′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedNuno Da Costa · Başakşehir FK · 17′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJuan · Göztepe · 43′ · 0.03 xG · goalJanderson · Göztepe · 58′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kałuziński · Başakşehir FK · 79′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedEfkan Bekiroğlu · Göztepe · 89′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedOusseynou Ba · Başakşehir FK · 29′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJakub Kałuziński · Başakşehir FK · 74′ · 0.04 xG · on targetOusseynou Ba · Başakşehir FK · 62′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedIbrahim Sabra · Göztepe · 79′ · 0.05 xG · on targetRhaldney · Göztepe · 20′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedMalcom Bokele · Göztepe · 50′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedJanderson · Göztepe · 52′ · 0.08 xG · off target or blockedEldor Shomurodov · Başakşehir FK · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetBertuğ Yıldırım · Başakşehir FK · 77′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedAmine Harit · Başakşehir FK · 17′ · 0.18 xG · on targetJerome Opoku · Başakşehir FK · 13′ · 0.23 xG · off target or blockedJuan · Göztepe · 26′ · 0.82 xG · off target or blocked
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Göztepe: 9 shots, 2 on target, 1.17 xG. Başakşehir FK: 11 shots, 3 on target, 0.83 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Juan · Göztepe · 43′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Göztepe 1.17 xG · Başakşehir FK 0.83 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

3Göztepe
0Draws
1Başakşehir FK
Göztepe — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig4–1
Başakşehir FK — Göztepe · Süper Lig4–1
Başakşehir FK — Göztepe · Süper Lig1–2
Göztepe — Başakşehir FK · Süper Lig2–1

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Göztepe favored in 10 of 11 directional metrics · Başakşehir FK in 0 · 1 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Göztepe8 matchesBaşakşehir FK7 matches
1.38 goals/match ▲Goals scored8/70.86 goals/match
0.25 goals/match ▲Goals allowed8/71 goal/match
1.29 xG/match ▲Expected goals8/70.98 xG/match
14.4 shots/match ▲Shots8/711.3 shots/match
4.63 shots/match ▲Shots on target8/73.57 shots/match
37.5%Possession8/7● 57.4%
5.13 corners/matchCorners8/7● 6 corners/match
18.4 fouls/matchFouls8/713.6 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples8 / 7home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 5 Oct 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsGöztepeBaşakşehir FK
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headGöztepe — Başakşehir FK
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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