Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeTüpraş StadyumFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricBeşiktaşGençlerbirliği
Shots11 shots/match6 shots/match
Shots on target4 shots/match2 shots/match
Expected goals1.91 xG/match0.63 xG/match
Possession63%37%
Corners5 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls21 fouls/match14 fouls/match

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Gençlerbirliği's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines. A second useful context is: Gençlerbirliği's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Gençlerbirliği show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Gençlerbirliği's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit below their competition baselines.

14.4 shots/matchShotsBeşiktaş · Gençlerbirliği9.22 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricBeşiktaşGençlerbirliğiBaseline
Shots14.4 shots/match9.22 shots/match12.2 shots/match
Shots against9.5 shots/match15.1 shots/match13 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Gençlerbirliği's recent record differs from the season

weak

Gençlerbirliği's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match1 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Gençlerbirliği have a visible away split

moderate

Gençlerbirliği's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7.6 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season9.22 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7.6 shots/match9.22 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Beşiktaş favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Gençlerbirliği in 0 · 5 too close

1.63 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/91 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/91.44 goals/match
2 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/90.9 xG/match
1.01 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/91.53 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/99.22 shots/match
9.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/915.1 shots/match
5.63 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/93 shots/match
2.88 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/94.11 shots/match
55.1%Possessionseason · 8/939.6%
6.5 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/94.22 corners/match
4.25 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/95.11 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
15.6 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/913.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/911%
75%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/978%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Beşiktaş80.6
Gençlerbirliği8.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Beşiktaş81.5
Gençlerbirliği16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Beşiktaş75.9
Gençlerbirliği31.5
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Beşiktaş69.4
Gençlerbirliği36.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Beşiktaş86.1
Gençlerbirliği30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Beşiktaş97.2
Gençlerbirliği25
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Beşiktaş86.8
Gençlerbirliği18.1
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.8 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
1.4 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51 goals/match
1.81 xG/matchExpected goals5/51 xG/match
12.2 shots/matchShots5/59 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
54.2%Possession5/541%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/54 corners/match
Cards0/0
16.2 fouls/matchFouls5/515.4 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 9 matches
1.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/91 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/91.44 goals/match
2 xG/matchExpected goals8/90.9 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots8/99.22 shots/match
5.63 shots/matchShots on target8/93 shots/match
55.1%Possession8/939.6%
6.5 corners/matchCorners8/94.22 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.6 fouls/matchFouls8/913.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 9 matches
1.63 goals/matchGoals scored8/91 goals/match
1.38 goals/matchGoals allowed8/91.44 goals/match
2 xG/matchExpected goals8/90.9 xG/match
14.4 shots/matchShots8/99.22 shots/match
5.63 shots/matchShots on target8/93 shots/match
55.1%Possession8/939.6%
6.5 corners/matchCorners8/94.22 corners/match
Cards0/0
15.6 fouls/matchFouls8/913.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored4/51 goals/match
1.25 goals/matchGoals allowed4/51.4 goals/match
2.27 xG/matchExpected goals4/50.56 xG/match
15.8 shots/matchShots4/57.6 shots/match
6.25 shots/matchShots on target4/52.2 shots/match
53%Possession4/536.6%
7 corners/matchCorners4/53.6 corners/match
Cards0/0
16.3 fouls/matchFouls4/514.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13.9 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/114.1 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/10 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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