Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 11:30 UTCFull timeMedas Konya Büyüksehir Belediyesi StadiumFull-time recap
23Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricKonyasporKocaelispor
Shots12 shots/match7 shots/match
Shots on target3 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals1.52 xG/match0.98 xG/match
Possession56%44%
Corners3 corners/match4 corners/match
Fouls15 fouls/match20 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Enis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 89′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedPedrinho · Konyaspor · 36′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYhoan Andzouana · Konyaspor · 89′ · 0.02 xG · on targetAhmet Oğuz · Kocaelispor · 19′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedHabib Keita · Kocaelispor · 63′ · 0.03 xG · goalUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedCan Keleş · Kocaelispor · 86′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedKarol Linetty · Kocaelispor · 23′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAdil Demirbağ · Konyaspor · 54′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 68′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 53′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedSerdar Dursun · Kocaelispor · 26′ · 0.21 xG · off target or blockedTayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 44′ · 0.26 xG · goalUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 77′ · 0.27 xG · goalTayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 71′ · 0.29 xG · goalPedrinho · Konyaspor · 51′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Konyaspor: 12 shots, 3 on target, 1.59 xG. Kocaelispor: 7 shots, 3 on target, 0.93 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

0120′HT90′Pedrinho · Konyaspor · 51′Umut Nayir · Konyaspor · 77′Tayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 44′Habib Keita · Kocaelispor · 63′Tayfur Bingöl · Kocaelispor · 71′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Konyaspor 1.59 xG · Kocaelispor 0.93 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Kocaelispor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Kocaelispor's away-only shot average is below their full-season average. Limitation: Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Kocaelispor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Kocaelispor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.25 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Kocaelispor have a visible away split

moderate

Kocaelispor's away-only shot average is below their full-season average.

7 shots/matchShotsAway only · Season9.22 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: away

MetricAway onlySeasonBaseline
Shots7 shots/match9.22 shots/match12.2 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Konyaspor favored in 6 of 14 directional metrics · Kocaelispor in 2 · 6 too close

1.88 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 8/90.89 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 8/91.56 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 8/90.84 xG/match
1.41 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 8/91.15 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 8/99.22 shots/match
13.1 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 8/913 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 8/93.11 shots/match
4 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 8/94.11 shots/match
50.4%Possessionseason · 8/947.7%
4.38 corners/matchCornersseason · 8/94.44 corners/match
5.5 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 8/94.22 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.3 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 8/915.1 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
13%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 8/911%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 8/967%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Konyaspor41.7
Kocaelispor30.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Konyaspor73.1
Kocaelispor16.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Konyaspor42.6
Kocaelispor39.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Konyaspor47.2
Kocaelispor2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Konyaspor19.4
Kocaelispor80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Konyaspor41.7
Kocaelispor47.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Konyaspor47.2
Kocaelispor38.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.2 goals/match
2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
1.14 xG/matchExpected goals5/50.79 xG/match
11.8 shots/matchShots5/58.2 shots/match
4.8 shots/matchShots on target5/53.2 shots/match
50%Possession5/551.8%
4 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls5/516.6 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

8 / 9 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/90.89 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/91.56 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals8/90.84 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots8/99.22 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target8/93.11 shots/match
50.4%Possession8/947.7%
4.38 corners/matchCorners8/94.44 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.3 fouls/matchFouls8/915.1 fouls/match

Window

Season

8 / 9 matches
1.88 goals/matchGoals scored8/90.89 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed8/91.56 goals/match
1.28 xG/matchExpected goals8/90.84 xG/match
12.5 shots/matchShots8/99.22 shots/match
4.75 shots/matchShots on target8/93.11 shots/match
50.4%Possession8/947.7%
4.38 corners/matchCorners8/94.44 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.3 fouls/matchFouls8/915.1 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

4 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored4/51 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed4/52.2 goals/match
1.42 xG/matchExpected goals4/50.59 xG/match
13.3 shots/matchShots4/57 shots/match
5 shots/matchShots on target4/51.8 shots/match
50.8%Possession4/548.2%
3.25 corners/matchCorners4/54.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
16 fouls/matchFouls4/517 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

13 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/113.9 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidencelimited
Season samples8 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 18 Oct 2025, 15:30 UTC · analysis-v4

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