Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeEryaman StadyumuFull-time recap
12Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGençlerbirliğiKonyaspor
Shots15 shots/match16 shots/match
Shots on target2 shots/match6 shots/match
Expected goals1.03 xG/match0.93 xG/match
Possession52%48%
Corners6 corners/match5 corners/match
Fouls11 fouls/match17 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Jackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 11′ · 0.01 xG · on targetGöktan Gürpüz · Gençlerbirliği · 33′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRiechedly Bazoer · Konyaspor · 75′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedJo Jin-ho · Konyaspor · 14′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGöktan Gürpüz · Gençlerbirliği · 28′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGöktan Gürpüz · Gençlerbirliği · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatěj Hanousek · Gençlerbirliği · 52′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 53′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedTom Dele-Bashiru · Gençlerbirliği · 69′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedYhoan Andzouana · Konyaspor · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedGuilherme Haubert Sityá · Konyaspor · 62′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 90′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedPedro Pereira · Gençlerbirliği · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 23′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 39′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 42′ · 0.04 xG · on targetJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 46′ · 0.04 xG · on targetPedro Pereira · Gençlerbirliği · 85′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGöktan Gürpüz · Gençlerbirliği · 20′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 38′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 16′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedAlassane Ndao · Konyaspor · 55′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedŽan Žužek · Gençlerbirliği · 26′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAdil Demirbağ · Konyaspor · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedSekou Koita · Gençlerbirliği · 76′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedM'Baye Niang · Gençlerbirliği · 81′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedFranco Tongya · Gençlerbirliği · 19′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedUmut Nayir · Konyaspor · 45′ · 0.12 xG · goalJackson Muleka · Konyaspor · 45′ · 0.14 xG · on targetEnis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 49′ · 0.20 xG · goalOğulcan Ülgün · Gençlerbirliği · 28′ · 0.30 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Gençlerbirliği: 15 shots, 2 on target, 1.03 xG. Konyaspor: 16 shots, 6 on target, 0.95 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Oğulcan Ülgün · Gençlerbirliği · 28′Umut Nayir · Konyaspor · 45′Enis Bardhi · Konyaspor · 49′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Gençlerbirliği 1.03 xG · Konyaspor 0.95 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Gençlerbirliği's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Konyaspor. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Gençlerbirliği's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Gençlerbirliği's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.4 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.4 goals/match1 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Recent scheduling adds useful context

weak

A compressed recent schedule is recorded for Konyaspor.

8 daysRest daysGençlerbirliği · Konyaspor3.88 days
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Rest days and completed matches in the prior 14 days are shown directly.

Window: previous 14 days

MetricGençlerbirliğiKonyasporBaseline
Rest days8 days3.88 days
Matches last 14 days1 matches2 matches

Caveat: The database does not describe travel, rotation decisions or player-level workload.

Gençlerbirliği have a visible home split

moderate

Gençlerbirliği's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

12 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season9.8 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots12 shots/match9.8 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Gençlerbirliği favored in 0 of 14 directional metrics · Konyaspor in 7 · 7 too close

1 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/101.7 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/101.5 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/101.2 xG/match
1.47 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/101.41 xG/match
9.8 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1013.8 shots/match
15.2 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1012.9 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/104.7 shots/match
4.3 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/103.8 shots/match
40.8%Possessionseason · 10/1052.2%
4.4 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/105.7 corners/match
5.1 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/105.3 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
13 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1012.2 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
10%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1010%
80%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1090%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Gençlerbirliği8.3
Konyaspor69.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Gençlerbirliği15.7
Konyaspor75
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Gençlerbirliği28.7
Konyaspor42.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Gençlerbirliği36.1
Konyaspor58.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Gençlerbirliği30.6
Konyaspor19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Gençlerbirliği27.8
Konyaspor80.6
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Gençlerbirliği20.2
Konyaspor59
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
1.4 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.4 goals/match
1.2 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.6 goals/match
0.95 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.08 xG/match
9 shots/matchShots5/514 shots/match
3.2 shots/matchShots on target5/54.6 shots/match
41.2%Possession5/550.8%
3.8 corners/matchCorners5/56 corners/match
Cards0/0
14.8 fouls/matchFouls5/513 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.2 xG/match
9.8 shots/matchShots10/1013.8 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/104.7 shots/match
40.8%Possession10/1052.2%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.7 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.2 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.7 goals/match
1.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.5 goals/match
0.91 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.2 xG/match
9.8 shots/matchShots10/1013.8 shots/match
2.9 shots/matchShots on target10/104.7 shots/match
40.8%Possession10/1052.2%
4.4 corners/matchCorners10/105.7 corners/match
Cards0/0
13 fouls/matchFouls10/1012.2 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 5 matches
1 goals/matchGoals scored5/51.8 goals/match
1.6 goals/matchGoals allowed5/51.4 goals/match
1.26 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.1 xG/match
12 shots/matchShots5/512.6 shots/match
3.6 shots/matchShots on target5/54.8 shots/match
45%Possession5/549.6%
5.2 corners/matchCorners5/55.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/510.2 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

8 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/13.88 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/12 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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