Süper Lig · 2025Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 14:00 UTCFull timeRams Park StadyumuFull-time recap
31Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricGalatasarayGöztepe
Shots27 shots/match5 shots/match
Shots on target13 shots/match3 shots/match
Expected goals3.31 xG/match1.08 xG/match
Possession80%20%
Corners8 corners/match2 corners/match
Fouls8 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Ismail Jakobs · Galatasaray · 6′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAhmed Kutucu · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 34′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 57′ · 0.02 xG · on targetEfkan Bekiroğlu · Göztepe · 17′ · 0.03 xG · on targetYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 23′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 55′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.03 xG · on targetMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 58′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 63′ · 0.04 xG · goalVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 85′ · 0.04 xG · on targetGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 14′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedRhaldney · Göztepe · 38′ · 0.05 xG · on targetAbdülkerim Bardakcı · Galatasaray · 69′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedGabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 90′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 46′ · 0.06 xG · on targetDavinson Sánchez · Galatasaray · 51′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 77′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLeroy Sané · Galatasaray · 74′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 66′ · 0.09 xG · on targetAbdülkerim Bardakcı · Galatasaray · 60′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 59′ · 0.13 xG · on targetAhmed Kutucu · Galatasaray · 88′ · 0.14 xG · on targetEfkan Bekiroğlu · Göztepe · 6′ · 0.25 xG · goalJunior Olaitan · Göztepe · 72′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedYunus Akgün · Galatasaray · 80′ · 0.30 xG · on targetVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 60′ · 0.36 xG · on targetMauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 66′ · 0.41 xG · goalRoland Sallai · Galatasaray · 81′ · 0.44 xG · on targetJanderson · Göztepe · 6′ · 0.63 xG · off target or blockedVictor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 19′ · 0.68 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Galatasaray: 27 shots, 13 on target, 3.34 xG. Göztepe: 5 shots, 3 on target, 1.22 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.753.50′HT90′Victor Osimhen · Galatasaray · 19′Gabriel Sara · Galatasaray · 63′Mauro Icardi · Galatasaray · 66′Efkan Bekiroğlu · Göztepe · 6′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Galatasaray 3.34 xG · Göztepe 1.22 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Galatasaray have recorded the higher season possession share. A second useful context is: Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

The teams have contrasting possession records

strong

Galatasaray have recorded the higher season possession share.

62.2%PossessionGalatasaray · Göztepe36%
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: The recorded possession gap is 26.2 percentage points.

Window: season

MetricGalatasarayGöztepeBaseline
Possession62.2%36%50.7%

Caveat: Possession share does not show where possession occurred or how chances were created.

Galatasaray show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Galatasaray's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

17.6 shots/matchShotsGalatasaray · Göztepe13 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricGalatasarayGöztepeBaseline
Shots17.6 shots/match13 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against9.4 shots/match12.6 shots/match12.8 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Galatasaray's recent record differs from the season

weak

Galatasaray's last-five goals scored average is below their season average.

2 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season2.5 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2 goals/match2.5 goals/match1.11 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Galatasaray favored in 9 of 14 directional metrics · Göztepe in 1 · 4 too close

2.5 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/101.2 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/100.6 goals/match
2.41 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/101.2 xG/match
1.08 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/101.08 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1013 shots/match
9.4 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1012.6 shots/match
6.7 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/104.6 shots/match
3.5 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/103.7 shots/match
62.2%Possessionseason · 10/1036%
4.8 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/104.7 corners/match
4.2 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/105.4 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/917.7 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1060%
100%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1070%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Galatasaray97.2
Göztepe2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Galatasaray97.2
Göztepe60.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Galatasaray89.8
Göztepe75.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Galatasaray80.6
Göztepe97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Galatasaray8.3
Göztepe97.2
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 45%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Galatasaray52.8
Göztepe44.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Galatasaray63.9
Göztepe66
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 98%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2 goals/matchGoals scored5/51 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
2.05 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.3 xG/match
15.4 shots/matchShots5/510.8 shots/match
5.8 shots/matchShots on target5/53.6 shots/match
58.8%Possession5/532%
4 corners/matchCorners5/54.2 corners/match
Cards0/0
12 fouls/matchFouls5/417 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
2.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.6 goals/match
2.41 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.2 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShots10/1013 shots/match
6.7 shots/matchShots on target10/104.6 shots/match
62.2%Possession10/1036%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/917.7 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
2.5 goals/matchGoals scored10/101.2 goals/match
0.5 goals/matchGoals allowed10/100.6 goals/match
2.41 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.2 xG/match
17.6 shots/matchShots10/1013 shots/match
6.7 shots/matchShots on target10/104.6 shots/match
62.2%Possession10/1036%
4.8 corners/matchCorners10/104.7 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.7 fouls/matchFouls10/917.7 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

5 / 6 matches
2.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/61.17 goals/match
0.8 goals/matchGoals allowed5/60.83 goals/match
2.23 xG/matchExpected goals5/61.05 xG/match
19.6 shots/matchShots5/613 shots/match
7.4 shots/matchShots on target5/64.83 shots/match
64.6%Possession5/638%
6.2 corners/matchCorners5/64.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
11.2 fouls/matchFouls5/516 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.88 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/17 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 26 Oct 2025, 18:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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