PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Şükrü Saracoğlu Stadium

Fenerbahçe 2–1 Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig

2–1Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fenerbahçe won 2–1.

Shots
2116
Shots on target
86
Expected goals
2.720.84
Possession
58%42%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fenerbahçe beat Fatih Karagümrük 2–1. Recorded in this match (Fenerbahçe – Fatih Karagümrük): shots 21–16, shots on target 8–6, expected goals 2.72–0.84, possession 58%–42%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fatih Karagümrük's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fatih Karagümrük's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.2 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season0.89 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.2 goals/match0.89 goals/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Fenerbahçe have a visible home split

moderate

Fenerbahçe's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

21.8 shots/match ▲ShotsHome only · Season16.6 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots21.8 shots/match16.6 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Fenerbahçe show a distinct attacking-volume record

moderate

Fenerbahçe's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

16.6 shots/match ▲ShotsFenerbahçe · Fatih Karagümrük11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricFenerbahçeFatih KaragümrükBaseline
Shots16.6 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against9.22 shots/match15.4 shots/match12.9 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots21 shots16 shotsFenerbahçe 21 shots, Fatih Karagümrük 16 shots
  • Shots on target8 shots6 shotsFenerbahçe 8 shots, Fatih Karagümrük 6 shots
  • Expected goals2.72 xG0.84 xGFenerbahçe 2.72 xG, Fatih Karagümrük 0.84 xG
  • Possession58%42%Fenerbahçe 58%, Fatih Karagümrük 42%
  • Corners6 corners6 cornersFenerbahçe 6 corners, Fatih Karagümrük 6 corners
  • Fouls10 fouls19 foulsFenerbahçe 10 fouls, Fatih Karagümrük 19 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Marco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 31′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAhmet Sivri · Fatih Karagümrük · 72′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAhmet Sivri · Fatih Karagümrük · 73′ · 0.01 xG · on targetAtakan Çankaya · Fatih Karagümrük · 39′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedSam Larsson · Fatih Karagümrük · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJure Balkovec · Fatih Karagümrük · 45′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedJure Balkovec · Fatih Karagümrük · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetDorgeles Nene · Fenerbahçe · 56′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMarius Tresor Doh · Fatih Karagümrük · 66′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAhmet Sivri · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedEdson Álvarez · Fenerbahçe · 12′ · 0.03 xG · on targetDaniel Johnson · Fatih Karagümrük · 53′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedBerkay Özcan · Fatih Karagümrük · 64′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 51′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 52′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · Fatih Karagümrük · 35′ · 0.05 xG · on targetJure Balkovec · Fatih Karagümrük · 37′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedİsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahçe · 52′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 53′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedSerginho · Fatih Karagümrük · 59′ · 0.05 xG · goalFred · Fenerbahçe · 90′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedİsmail Yüksek · Fenerbahçe · 3′ · 0.07 xG · off target or blockedTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 49′ · 0.07 xG · on targetMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 42′ · 0.09 xG · on targetJayden Oosterwolde · Fenerbahçe · 49′ · 0.09 xG · off target or blockedDorgeles Nene · Fenerbahçe · 2′ · 0.10 xG · on targetTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 61′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedTiago Çukur · Fatih Karagümrük · 73′ · 0.10 xG · on targetMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 90′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 32′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedYoussef En-Nesyri · Fenerbahçe · 77′ · 0.12 xG · on targetOğuz Aydın · Fenerbahçe · 85′ · 0.12 xG · on targetDorgeles Nene · Fenerbahçe · 77′ · 0.13 xG · off target or blockedSebastian Szymański · Fenerbahçe · 90′ · 0.17 xG · off target or blockedDavid Datro Fofana · Fatih Karagümrük · 62′ · 0.32 xG · off target or blockedMarco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 41′ · 0.40 xG · goalTalisca · Fenerbahçe · 23′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fenerbahçe: 21 shots, 8 on target, 2.75 xG. Fatih Karagümrük: 16 shots, 6 on target, 0.82 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.530′HT90′Talisca · Fenerbahçe · 23′Marco Asensio · Fenerbahçe · 41′Serginho · Fatih Karagümrük · 59′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fenerbahçe 2.75 xG · Fatih Karagümrük 0.82 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Fenerbahçe
1Draws
0Fatih Karagümrük
Fatih Karagümrük — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig1–2
Fenerbahçe — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig2–1
Fatih Karagümrük — Fenerbahçe · Süper Lig1–2
Fenerbahçe — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig5–4
Fenerbahçe — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig0–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fenerbahçe favored in 11 of 11 directional metrics · Fatih Karagümrük in 0

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fenerbahçe9 matchesFatih Karagümrük9 matches
1.56 goals/match ▲Goals scored9/90.89 goals/match
0.67 goals/match ▲Goals allowed9/92.22 goals/match
2 xG/match ▲Expected goals9/90.95 xG/match
16.6 shots/match ▲Shots9/911.9 shots/match
5.44 shots/match ▲Shots on target9/93.44 shots/match
62% ●Possession9/949.6%
6.22 corners/match ●Corners9/94.11 corners/match
13.4 fouls/matchFouls9/914.3 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade B · Useful evidenceUseful evidence — limited
Season samples9 / 9home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Evidence is usable but does not meet the strongest completeness threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Sun, 19 Oct 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFenerbahçeFatih Karagümrük
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headFenerbahçe — Fatih Karagümrük
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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