PitchMath
Süper Lig · 2025Vefa Stadium

Fatih Karagümrük 2–2 Kayserispor · Süper Lig

2–2Historical match

A completed match from a finished season. This page is the record of what happened.

Match at a glance

Fatih Karagümrük and Kayserispor drew 2–2.

Shots
1013
Shots on target
310
Expected goals
2.041.65
Possession
47%53%

Full time

What the match recorded

Fatih Karagümrük and Kayserispor drew 2–2. Recorded in this match (Fatih Karagümrük – Kayserispor): shots 10–13, shots on target 3–10, expected goals 2.04–1.65, possession 47%–53%. This is what was recorded. It is not a claim that the result was foreseeable.

Pre-match record

What the data showed before kick-off. Kept for reference; it did not know the result.

Fatih Karagümrük's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Fatih Karagümrük's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

1.6 goals/match ▲Goals forLast 5 · Season1 goal/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for1.6 goals/match1 goal/match1.22 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

This match

Match statistics

  • Shots10 shots13 shotsFatih Karagümrük 10 shots, Kayserispor 13 shots
  • Shots on target3 shots10 shotsFatih Karagümrük 3 shots, Kayserispor 10 shots
  • Expected goals2.04 xG1.65 xGFatih Karagümrük 2.04 xG, Kayserispor 1.65 xG
  • Possession47%53%Fatih Karagümrük 47%, Kayserispor 53%
  • Corners1 corner7 cornersFatih Karagümrük 1 corner, Kayserispor 7 corners
  • Fouls16 fouls21 foulsFatih Karagümrük 16 fouls, Kayserispor 21 fouls

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Arrows show each team’s attacking direction.

Miguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 45′ · 0.01 xG · on targetBurak Kapacak · Kayserispor · 47′ · 0.01 xG · on targetMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 88′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedAhmet Sivri · Fatih Karagümrük · 21′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAhmet Sivri · Fatih Karagümrük · 33′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedMatías Kranevitter · Fatih Karagümrük · 37′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 50′ · 0.02 xG · on targetSam Larsson · Fatih Karagümrük · 83′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 90′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedAhmet Sivri · Fatih Karagümrük · 59′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 72′ · 0.03 xG · on targetBaris Kalayci · Fatih Karagümrük · 90′ · 0.04 xG · on targetArif Kocaman · Kayserispor · 24′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedLászló Bénes · Kayserispor · 85′ · 0.07 xG · on targetFurkan Soyalp · Kayserispor · 90′ · 0.08 xG · on targetAtakan Çankaya · Fatih Karagümrük · 45′ · 0.10 xG · off target or blockedMiguel Cardoso · Kayserispor · 12′ · 0.14 xG · on targetDavid Datro Fofana · Fatih Karagümrük · 31′ · 0.26 xG · off target or blockedGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 68′ · 0.29 xG · goalArif Kocaman · Kayserispor · 24′ · 0.36 xG · on targetGerman Onugkha · Kayserispor · 74′ · 0.51 xG · goalAtakan Çankaya · Fatih Karagümrük · 79′ · 0.72 xG · goalSam Larsson · Fatih Karagümrük · 16′ · 0.82 xG · goal
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Fatih Karagümrük: 10 shots, 3 on target, 2.05 xG. Kayserispor: 13 shots, 10 on target, 1.61 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

01.252.50′HT90′Sam Larsson · Fatih Karagümrük · 16′Atakan Çankaya · Fatih Karagümrük · 79′German Onugkha · Kayserispor · 68′German Onugkha · Kayserispor · 74′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Fatih Karagümrük 2.05 xG · Kayserispor 1.61 xG.

History

Head-to-head

Recent meetings between these teams.

Last 5 meetings

4Fatih Karagümrük
1Draws
0Kayserispor
Kayserispor — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig2–2
Fatih Karagümrük — Kayserispor · Süper Lig4–1
Fatih Karagümrük — Kayserispor · Süper Lig2–0
Kayserispor — Fatih Karagümrük · Süper Lig2–4
Fatih Karagümrük — Kayserispor · Süper Lig3–0

Head-to-Head & Recent Meetings

Metric comparison

Team comparison

Season averages, with the sample size beside each metric.

Where the edge is

Season: Fatih Karagümrük favored in 1 of 11 directional metrics · Kayserispor in 6 · 4 too close

led this metric higher value (descriptive) too close

Window

Season

Fatih Karagümrük10 matchesKayserispor10 matches
1 goal/match ▲Goals scored10/100.8 goals/match
2.2 goals/matchGoals allowed10/102.2 goals/match
1.06 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.05 xG/match
11.7 shots/matchShots10/10▲ 12.4 shots/match
3.4 shots/matchShots on target10/10▲ 4.5 shots/match
49.3%Possession10/10● 51.2%
3.8 corners/matchCorners10/10● 5.7 corners/match
14.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1014.2 fouls/match

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceStrong evidence — limited
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • The fixture is outside the configured active season.
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
  • The fixture season differs from the competition's configured active season.
Analysis cutoff: Fri, 24 Oct 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

Team rankings in Süper Lig

Goals per match rankingxG per match rankingShots per match ranking
TeamsFatih KaragümrükKayserispor
CompetitionSüper LigSüper Lig 2025/26
Head-to-headFatih Karagümrük — Kayserispor
MethodHow PitchMath calculates this

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