Süper Lig · 2025Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 17:00 UTCFull timeAkyazı StadiumFull-time recap
20Full-time recap

This page describes the completed match context. The result is not presented as a prior forecast.

This match

Match statistics

MetricTrabzonsporEyüpspor
Shots14 shots/match10 shots/match
Shots on target6 shots/match4 shots/match
Expected goals0.97 xG/match1.29 xG/match
Possession56%44%
Corners8 corners/match3 corners/match
Fouls18 fouls/match12 fouls/match

Every shot

Shot map

Every recorded shot, placed where it was taken and sized by its expected-goals value. Each team attacks towards its own end of the pitch.

Mustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor · 55′ · 0.01 xG · on targetKazeem Olaigbe · Trabzonspor · 79′ · 0.01 xG · off target or blockedCalegari · Eyüpspor · 3′ · 0.02 xG · on targetMustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor · 38′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKerem Demirbay · Eyüpspor · 57′ · 0.02 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Trabzonspor · 90′ · 0.02 xG · on targetOleksandr Zubkov · Trabzonspor · 66′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedKazeem Olaigbe · Trabzonspor · 74′ · 0.03 xG · off target or blockedSerdar Gürler · Eyüpspor · 18′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMateusz Łęgowski · Eyüpspor · 19′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedPrince Ampem · Eyüpspor · 68′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedEdin Višća · Trabzonspor · 90′ · 0.04 xG · off target or blockedMustafa Eskihellaç · Trabzonspor · 66′ · 0.05 xG · off target or blockedMateusz Łęgowski · Eyüpspor · 45′ · 0.06 xG · off target or blockedChrist Inao Oulaï · Trabzonspor · 51′ · 0.07 xG · goalFelipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 12′ · 0.09 xG · goalYalçın Kayan · Eyüpspor · 22′ · 0.09 xG · on targetPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 55′ · 0.11 xG · off target or blockedKerem Demirbay · Eyüpspor · 64′ · 0.12 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 70′ · 0.12 xG · on targetPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 26′ · 0.18 xG · off target or blockedPaul Onuachu · Trabzonspor · 5′ · 0.20 xG · on targetSerdar Gürler · Eyüpspor · 39′ · 0.38 xG · on targetYalçın Kayan · Eyüpspor · 39′ · 0.49 xG · on target
  • off target
  • on target
  • goal
  • penalty
  • size = xG

Trabzonspor: 14 shots, 6 on target, 0.98 xG. Eyüpspor: 10 shots, 4 on target, 1.30 xG.

How the match built

Expected-goals timeline

Expected goals accumulated minute by minute. Circles mark the goals that were actually scored.

00.751.50′HT90′Felipe Augusto · Trabzonspor · 12′Christ Inao Oulaï · Trabzonspor · 51′

The step line is cumulative expected goals; circles mark goals. Final: Trabzonspor 0.98 xG · Eyüpspor 1.30 xG.

30-second read

What the record shows

The clearest recorded pattern is: Trabzonspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average. A second useful context is: Trabzonspor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average. Limitation: Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Trabzonspor's recent record differs from the season

moderate

Trabzonspor's last-five goals scored average is above their season average.

2.6 goals/matchGoals forLast 5 · Season1.7 goals/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: An unweighted last-five average is compared with the unweighted season average.

Window: last_5 versus season

MetricLast 5SeasonBaseline
Goals for2.6 goals/match1.7 goals/match1.17 goals/match

Caveat: Five matches are sensitive to opponent mix and isolated match states.

Trabzonspor have a visible home split

moderate

Trabzonspor's home-only shot average is above their full-season average.

17.2 shots/matchShotsHome only · Season14.5 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Venue-only shot volume is compared with the same team's season record.

Window: home

MetricHome onlySeasonBaseline
Shots17.2 shots/match14.5 shots/match12.3 shots/match

Caveat: Venue splits can reflect opponent mix and should be read with the listed sample.

Trabzonspor show a distinct attacking-volume record

weak

Trabzonspor's shot volume and the opposing shot-allowance context sit above their competition baselines.

14.5 shots/matchShotsTrabzonspor · Eyüpspor11.9 shots/match
Evidence and caveat

Comparison: Team shot volume is paired with the opponent's recorded shot allowance.

Window: season

MetricTrabzonsporEyüpsporBaseline
Shots14.5 shots/match11.9 shots/match12.3 shots/match
Shots against13.5 shots/match13.7 shots/match12.7 shots/match

Caveat: Shot volume describes activity; it does not establish finishing quality or a match outcome.

Metric comparison

Values, percentiles and samples

Where the edge is

Trabzonspor favored in 10 of 14 directional metrics · Eyüpspor in 0 · 4 too close

1.7 goals/matchGoals scoredseason · 10/100.6 goals/match
0.7 goals/matchGoals allowedseason · 10/101.3 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goalsseason · 10/101.13 xG/match
1.33 xG/matchExpected goals allowedseason · 10/101.46 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShotsseason · 10/1011.9 shots/match
13.5 shots/matchShots allowedseason · 10/1013.7 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on targetseason · 10/103.8 shots/match
3.7 shots/matchShots on target allowedseason · 10/104.8 shots/match
50.2%Possessionseason · 10/1051.5%
3.9 corners/matchCornersseason · 10/104.5 corners/match
5.3 corners/matchCorners allowedseason · 10/105.9 corners/match
Cardsseason · 0/0
12.5 fouls/matchFoulsseason · 10/1011.3 fouls/match
Passesseason · 0/0
Pass accuracyseason · 0/0
Shots inside boxseason · 0/0
Blocked shotsseason · 0/0
Goalkeeper savesseason · 0/0
Offsidesseason · 0/0
50%Clean-sheet frequencyseason · 10/1030%
90%Scoring frequencyseason · 10/1040%

Style profile

How the teams compare

Competition percentiles describe recorded style; they do not rank likely outcomes.

Possession control

Relative share of recorded possession within the competition.

Trabzonspor47.2
Eyüpspor63.9
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Attacking volume

Recorded shot and scoring volume, expressed as competition percentiles.

Trabzonspor84.3
Eyüpspor27.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Defensive resistance

Lower recorded scoring and shot allowance produces a higher descriptive percentile.

Trabzonspor58.3
Eyüpspor28.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Directness proxy

Shots per possession point; a descriptive transition/directness proxy, not an outcome score.

Trabzonspor86.1
Eyüpspor19.4
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Physicality

Recorded fouls and cards relative to competition peers.

Trabzonspor25
Eyüpspor2.8
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 50%

Set-piece relevance

Corner volume relative to competition peers.

Trabzonspor19.4
Eyüpspor41.7
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Tempo and pressure proxy

Combined event-volume percentiles for shots, corners and fouls.

Trabzonspor51.4
Eyüpspor31.3
0–100 competition percentile · coverage 100%

Recent form

Season, last 10 and last 5

Window

Last 5

5 / 5 matches
2.6 goals/matchGoals scored5/50.4 goals/match
1 goals/matchGoals allowed5/50.8 goals/match
1.77 xG/matchExpected goals5/51.3 xG/match
19.2 shots/matchShots5/513.2 shots/match
8 shots/matchShots on target5/55 shots/match
51.6%Possession5/555.6%
5 corners/matchCorners5/54.8 corners/match
Cards0/0
13.2 fouls/matchFouls5/511 fouls/match

Window

Last 10

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.6 goals/match
0.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.13 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots10/1011.9 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target10/103.8 shots/match
50.2%Possession10/1051.5%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Window

Season

10 / 10 matches
1.7 goals/matchGoals scored10/100.6 goals/match
0.7 goals/matchGoals allowed10/101.3 goals/match
1.35 xG/matchExpected goals10/101.13 xG/match
14.5 shots/matchShots10/1011.9 shots/match
5.2 shots/matchShots on target10/103.8 shots/match
50.2%Possession10/1051.5%
3.9 corners/matchCorners10/104.5 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.5 fouls/matchFouls10/1011.3 fouls/match

Venue split

Home and away samples

Window

Home team at home / away team away

6 / 5 matches
1.67 goals/matchGoals scored6/50.2 goals/match
0.33 goals/matchGoals allowed6/51.2 goals/match
1.68 xG/matchExpected goals6/51 xG/match
17.2 shots/matchShots6/513.2 shots/match
5.67 shots/matchShots on target6/53.6 shots/match
53%Possession6/551.8%
4.67 corners/matchCorners6/53.4 corners/match
Cards0/0
12.2 fouls/matchFouls6/512.8 fouls/match

Schedule context

Rest and recent workload

7.12 daysRest before fixtureprevious completed fixtures · 1/15 days
1 matchesMatches in previous 14 daysprevious completed fixtures · 1/11 matches

Evidence quality

How much supports this analysis

Grade A · Strong evidenceready
Season samples10 / 10home / away teams
Recent samples5 / 5last-five windows
FreshnessLess than one dayfrom nearest prior match
  • Recent samples and important metric coverage meet the strong evidence threshold.

Known unknowns

  • Lineups, injuries, suspensions and tactical changes are not available in the retained dataset.
  • Some metrics are unavailable or below their observation minimum: cards.
Analysis cutoff: Sat, 25 Oct 2025, 21:00 UTC · analysis-v4

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